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Article

Altmann, Daniel M; Pagel, Christina; (2023) Long covid: where are we, what does it say about our pandemic response, and where next? BMJ , 383 p. 2972. 10.1136/bmj.p2972. Green open access
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Alwan, NA; Burgess, RA; Ashworth, S; Beale, R; Bhadelia, N; Bogaert, D; Dowd, J; ... Ziauddeen, H; + view all (2020) Scientific consensus on the COVID-19 pandemic: we need to act now. The Lancet , 396 (10260) e71-e72. 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)32153-X. Green open access
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Banerjee, A; Pasea, L; Harris, S; Gonzalez-Izquierdo, A; Torralbo, A; Shallcross, L; Noursadeghi, M; ... Hemingway, H; + view all (2020) Estimating excess 1-year mortality associated with the COVID-19 pandemic according to underlying conditions and age: a population-based cohort study. The Lancet 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30854-0. (In press). Green open access
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Bar-Yam, Y; Gurdasani, D; Baker, MG; Scally, G; George, S; Kvalsvig, A; Fhaoláin, SN; ... Ziauddeen, H; + view all (2021) The World Health Network: a global citizens' initiative. Lancet , 398 (10311) pp. 1567-1568. 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02246-7. Green open access
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Brown, Kate L; Huang, Qi; Hadjicosta, Elena; Seale, Anna N; Tsang, Victor; Anderson, David; Barron, David; ... Ridout, Deborah; + view all (2022) Long-term survival and center volume for functionally single-ventricle congenital heart disease in England and Wales. The Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 10.1016/j.jtcvs.2022.11.018. (In press). Green open access
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Brown, Katherine L; Huang, Qi; Espuny-Pujol, Ferran; Van Doorn, Carin; Stoica, Serban; Tsang, Victor; Pagel, Christina; ... Crowe, Sonya; + view all (2025) A cohort evaluation of surgical pathways reported to a national audit of children undergoing treatment for congenital heart disease in England and Wales. The Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery , 170 (2) 316-324.e13. 10.1016/j.jtcvs.2025.02.029. Green open access
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Brown, KL; Crowe, S; Franklin, R; McLean, A; Cunningham, D; Barron, D; Tsang, V; ... Utley, M; + view all (2015) Trends in 30-day mortality rate and case mix for paediatric cardiac surgery in the UK between 2000 and 2010. Open Heart , 2 (1) , Article e000157. 10.1136/openhrt-2014-000157. Green open access
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Brown, KL; Pagel, C; Brimmell, R; Bull, K; Davis, P; Franklin, RC; Hoskote, A; ... Mclean, A; + view all (2017) Definition of important early morbidities related to paediatric cardiac surgery. Cardiology in the Young , 27 (4) pp. 747-756. 10.1017/S1047951116001256. Green open access
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Brown, KL; Pagel, C; Ridout, D; Wray, J; Anderson, D; Barron, DJ; Cassidy, J; ... Tsang, VT; + view all (2019) What are the important morbidities associated with paediatric cardiac surgery? A mixed methods study. BMJ Open , 9 (9) , Article e028533. 10.1136/bmjopen-2018-028533. Green open access
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Brown, KL; Pagel, C; Ridout, D; Wray, J; Tsang, VT; Anderson, D; Banks, V; ... Witter, T; + view all (2020) Early morbidities following paediatric cardiac surgery: a mixed-methods study. Health Services and Delivery Research , 8 (30) pp. 1-192. 10.3310/hsdr08300. Green open access
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Brown, KL; Ridout, D; Pagel, C; Wray, J; Anderson, D; Barron, DJ; Cassidy, J; ... Tsang, VT; + view all (2019) Incidence and risk factors for important early morbidities associated with pediatric cardiac surgery in a UK population. The Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 10.1016/j.jtcvs.2019.03.139. (In press). Green open access
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Brown, KL; Ridout, DA; Pagel, C; Lakhanpaul, M; Kakat, S; Banks, V; Franklin, R; ... Wray, J; + view all (2018) Validation of the Brief Developmental Assessment in pre-school children with heart disease. Cardiology in the Young , 28 (4) pp. 571-581. 10.1017/S1047951117002773. Green open access
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Chapman, S; Wray, J; Oulton, K; Pagel, C; Ray, S; Peters, M; (2016) Evidence-Based Vital Signs Do Not Improve Predictive Performance of Effective Paediatric Track and Trigger Systems. European Journal of Pediatrics - EAPS Congress 2016 , 175 (11) p. 1573. 10.1007/s00431-016-2785-8. Green open access
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Chapman, SM; Wray, J; Oulton, K; Pagel, C; Ray, S; Peters, M; (2017) "The Score Matters": Wide Variations in Predictive Performance of 18 Paediatric Track and Trigger Systems. Archives of Disease in Childhood , 102 (6) pp. 487-495. 10.1136/archdischild-2016-311088. Green open access
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Crowe, Sonya; Pagel, Christina; Ramnarayan, Padmanabhan; Taylor, Julie A; (2025) Health research in England is grinding to a halt. BMJ , 390 r1386. 10.1136/bmj.r1386. Green open access
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Crowe, S; Utley, M; Walker, G; Panovska-Griffiths, J; Grove, P; Pagel, C; (2015) A novel approach to evaluating the UK childhood immunisation schedule: estimating the effective coverage vector across the entire vaccine programme. BMC Infectious Diseases , 15 (1) , Article 585. 10.1186/s12879-015-1299-8. Green open access
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Das, P; Ghafur, S; Murray, A; Pagel, C; (2016) The NHS and Obamacare face similar challenges. Health Service Journal (HSJ) Green open access
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Das, P; Pagel, C; (2017) The one lesson that the US and UK can learn from each other. Health Service Journal (HSJ) Green open access
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Dorobantu, Dan M; Davis, Peter; Brown, Katherine; Ridout, Deborah; Wellman, Paul; Cassidy, Jane; Pagel, Christina; ... Stoica, Serban C; + view all (2024) Risk factors and early outcomes associated with prolonged pleural effusion/chylothorax after paediatric cardiac surgery. European Journal of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery , Article ezae363. 10.1093/ejcts/ezae363. (In press). Green open access
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Dorobantu, DM; Ridout, D; Brown, KL; Rodrigues, W; Sharabiani, MTA; Pagel, C; Anderson, D; ... Stoica, SC; + view all (2021) Factors associated with unplanned reinterventions and their relation to early mortality after pediatric cardiac surgery. The Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery , 161 (3) 1155-1166.e9. 10.1016/j.jtcvs.2020.10.145. Green open access
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English, Kate M; Espuny-Pujol, Ferran; Franklin, Rodney C; Crowe, Sonya; Pagel, Christina; (2024) Secundum atrial septal defect closure in adults in the UK. European Heart Journal - Quality of Care and Clinical Outcomes , Article qcae019. 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcae019. (In press). Green open access
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Espuny Pujol, Ferran; Pagel, Christina; Brown, Katherine L; Doidge, James C; Feltbower, Richard G; Franklin, Rodney C; Gonzalez-Izquierdo, Arturo; ... Crowe, Sonya; + view all (2022) Linkage of National Congenital Heart Disease Audit data to hospital, critical care and mortality national data sets to enable research focused on quality improvement. BMJ Open , 12 (5) , Article e057343. 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-057343. Green open access
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Evans, REC; Barber, V; Seaton, S; Draper, ES; Rajah, F; Pagel, C; Polke, E; ... the DEPICT Study Investigators; + view all (2022) Development of a parent experience measure for paediatric critical care transport teams. Nursing in Critical Care , 27 (3) pp. 367-374. 10.1111/nicc.12648. Green open access
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Evans, Ruth EC; Barber, Vicky; Ramnarayan, Padmanabhan; Davies, Patrick; Wray, Jo; On behalf of the DEPICT Study Group; (2023) Emergency Inter-Hospital Transfer of Children to PICUs in the United Kingdom: Qualitative Exploration of Parents’ Experiences of Retrieval Teams. Pediatric Critical Care Medicine , 24 (10) e476-e486. 10.1097/PCC.0000000000003267. Green open access
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Ghafur, S; Murray, A; Pagel, C; (2017) We need more trust between managers, patients and the front line. Health Service Journal (HSJ) Green open access
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Gjerloev, Amalia; Crowe, Sonya; Pagel, Christina; Jani, Yogini; Grieco, Luca; (2024) A systematic review of simulation methods applied to cancer care services. Health Systems , 13 (4) pp. 274-294. 10.1080/20476965.2024.2322451. Green open access
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Grass, Emilia; Pagel, Christina; Crowe, Sonya; Ghafur, Saira; (2024) A stochastic optimisation model to support cybersecurity within the UK national health service. Journal of the Operational Research Society 10.1080/01605682.2024.2436063. (In press). Green open access
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Greenhalgh, T; Griffin, S; Gurdasani, D; Hamdy, A; Katzourakis, A; McKee, M; Michie, S; ... Ziauddeen, H; + view all (2022) Covid-19: An urgent call for global "vaccines-plus" action. BMJ: British Medical Journal , 376 , Article o1. 10.1136/bmj.o1. Green open access
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Greenhalgh, Trisha; Costello, Anthony; Cruickshank, Sheena; Griffin, Stephen; Katzourakis, Aris; Lee, Lennard; McKee, Martin; ... Yates, Kit; + view all (2025) Independent SAGE as an example of effective public dialogue on scientific research. Nature Protocols , 20 pp. 1103-1113. 10.1038/s41596-024-01089-6. Green open access
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Grieco, L; Pagel, C; Utley, M; Barron, DJ; Stoica, S; Tibby, S; Rodrigues, W; ... Brown, KL; + view all (2020) A tool for routine monitoring and feedback of morbidities following paediatric cardiac surgery. Cardiology in the Young , 30 (1) pp. 28-33. 10.1017/s1047951119002956. Green open access
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Gupta, RK; Marks, M; Samuels, THA; Luintel, A; Rampling, T; Chowdhury, H; Quartagno, M; ... Noursadeghi, M; + view all (2020) Systematic evaluation and external validation of 22 prognostic models among hospitalised adults with COVID-19: An observational cohort study. European Respiratory Journal , 56 (6) , Article 2003498. 10.1183/13993003.03498-2020. Green open access
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Gurdasani, D; Akrami, A; Bradley, VC; Costello, A; Greenhalgh, T; Flaxman, S; McKee, M; ... Ziauddeen, H; + view all (2022) Long COVID in children. Lancet Child Adolesc Health , 6 (1) , Article e2. 10.1016/S2352-4642(21)00342-4. Green open access
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Gurdasani, D; Bhatt, S; Costello, A; Denaxas, S; Flaxman, S; Greenhalgh, T; Griffin, S; ... Pagel, C; + view all (2021) Vaccinating adolescents against SARS-CoV-2 in England: a risk-benefit analysis. Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine 10.1177/01410768211052589. (In press). Green open access
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Gurdasani, D; Drury, J; Greenhalgh, T; Griffin, S; Haque, Z; Hyde, Z; Katzourakis, A; ... Ziauddeen, H; + view all (2021) Mass infection is not an option: we must do more to protect our young. The Lancet , 398 (10297) pp. 297-298. 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01589-0. Green open access
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Gurdasani, Deepti; Pagel, Christina; (2022) What is the role of children in transmission of SARS-CoV-2? Science , 377 (6611) p. 1147. Green open access
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Gurdasani, Deepti; Pagel, Christina; McKee, Martin; Michie, Susan; Greenhalgh, Trish; Yates, Christopher; Scally, Gabriel; (2022) Covid-19 in the UK: policy on children and schools. BMJ , 378 , Article e071234. 10.1136/bmj-2022-071234. Green open access
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Gurdasani, D; Bear, L; Bogaert, D; Burgess, RA; Busse, R; Cacciola, R; Charpak, Y; ... Ziauddeen, H; + view all (2020) The UK needs a sustainable strategy for COVID-19. The Lancet , 396 (10265) pp. 1800-1801. 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)32350-3. Green open access
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Hadjicosta, E; Franklin, R; Seale, A; Stumper, O; Tsang, V; Anderson, DR; Pagel, C; ... Brown, KL; + view all (2021) Cohort study of intervened functionally univentricular heart in England and Wales (2000-2018). Heart 10.1136/heartjnl-2021-319677. (In press). Green open access
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Hoskote, A; Ridout, D; Banks, V; Kakat, S; Lakhanpaul, M; Pagel, C; Franklin, RC; ... Brown, K; + view all (2020) Neurodevelopmental status and follow-up in preschool children with heart disease in London, UK. Archives of Disease in Childhood 10.1136/archdischild-2019-317824. (In press). Green open access
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Huang, Qi; Kohn, Charmaine; Abraham, Sue Ben; Malbon, Katherine; Mallick, Anjalika; Mouncey, Paul R; Oulton, Kate; ... Crowe, Sonya; + view all (2025) Optimising Paediatric Transition to Intensive Care for Adults (OPTICAL): study protocol for a mixed method study. BMJ Open , 15 (7) , Article e101362. 10.1136/bmjopen-2025-101362. Green open access
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Huang, Qi; Lawlor, Deborah A; Nolan, John; Espuny-Pujol, Ferran; Caputo, Massimo; Pagel, Christina; Crowe, Sonya; ... CVD-COVID-UK/ COVID-IMPACT Consortium; + view all (2025) Peripandemic outcomes of infants treated for sentinel congenital heart diseases in England and Wales. Open Heart , 12 (1) , Article e002964. 10.1136/openhrt-2024-002964. Green open access
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Huang, Qi; Ridout, Deborah; Tsang, Victor; Drury, Nigel E; Jones, Timothy J; Bellsham-Revell, Hannah; Hadjicosta, Elena; ... Brown, Kate L; + view all (2023) Risk Factors for Reintervention With Functionally Single-Ventricle Disease Undergoing Staged Palliation in England and Wales: A Retrospective Cohort Study. Circulation , 148 (17) pp. 1343-1345. 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.123.065647. Green open access
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Huang, Qi; Ridout, Deborah; Tsang, Victor; Drury, Nigel E; Jones, Timothy J; Bellsham‐Revell, Hannah; Hadjicosta, Elena; ... Brown, Katherine L; + view all (2024) Retrospective Cohort Study of Additional Procedures and Transplant‐Free Survival for Patients With Functionally Single Ventricle Disease Undergoing Staged Palliation in England and Wales. Journal of the American Heart Association 10.1161/jaha.123.033068. (In press). Green open access
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Hudson, E; Brown, K; Pagel, C; Wray, J; Barron, D; Rodrigues, W; Stoica, S; ... Morris, S; + view all (2020) Costs of postoperative morbidity following paediatric cardiac surgery: observational study. Archives of Disease in Childhood 10.1136/archdischild-2019-318499. (In press). Green open access
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Huo, Zhiqiang; Booth, John; Monks, Thomas; Knight, Philip; Watson, Liam; Peters, Mark; Pagel, Christina; ... Li, Kezhi; + view all (2025) Dynamic mortality prediction in critically Ill children during interhospital transports to PICUs using explainable AI. npj Digital Medicine , 8 (1) , Article 108. 10.1038/s41746-025-01465-w. Green open access
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Jones, DK; Pagel, C; Koller, CF; (2018) The Future of Health Care Reform - A View from the States on Where We Go from Here. New England Journal of Medicine , 379 (23) pp. 2189-2191. 10.1056/NEJMp1809153. Green open access
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King, M; Ramnarayan, P; Seaton, S; Pagel, A; (2019) Modelling the allocation of paediatric intensive care retrieval teams in England and Wales. Archives of Disease in Childhood 10.1136/archdischild-2018-316056. (In press). Green open access
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Kung, E; Seaton, SE; Ramnarayan, P; Pagel, C; (2021) Using a genetic algorithm to solve a non-linear location allocation problem for specialised children’s ambulances in England and Wales. Health Systems 10.1080/20476965.2021.1908176. (In press). Green open access
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Livingstone, S; Pagel, C; Shao, Z; Randle, E; Ramnarayan, P; (2021) Modelling the association between weather and short-term demand for children’s intensive care transport services during winter in the South East of England. Operations Research for Health Care , 31 , Article 100327. 10.1016/j.orhc.2021.100327. Green open access
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Marshall, M; Pagel, C; French, C; Utley, M; Allwood, D; Fulop, N; Pope, C; ... Goldmann, A; + view all (2014) Moving improvement research closer to practice: the Researcher-in-Residence model. BMJ Qual Saf , 23 (10) 801 - 805. 10.1136/bmjqs-2013-002779. Green open access
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McKee, M; Altmann, D; Costello, A; Friston, K; Haque, Z; Khunti, K; Michie, S; ... West, R; + view all (2022) Open science communication: The first year of the UK's Independent Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies. Health Policy , 126 (3) pp. 234-244. 10.1016/j.healthpol.2022.01.006. Green open access
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McKee, M; Pagel, C; Gurdasani, D; (2021) The NHS is complex, and that's why we should be worried. BMJ , 375 , Article n3128. 10.1136/bmj.n3128. Green open access
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McKee, Martin; Pagel, Christina; Buse, Kent; (2024) Disinformation enabled Donald Trump’s second term and is a crisis for democracies everywhere. BMJ , 387 , Article q2485. 10.1136/bmj.q2485. Green open access
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McKee, Martin; Pagel, Christina; Correia, Tiago; (2025) A Public Health Response to Economic Warfare. International Journal of Health Planning and Management 10.1002/hpm.3940. (In press).

Mitchell, Hannah K; Pujol, Ferran Espuny; Franklin, Rodney C; Ambler, Gareth; Stickley, John; Taylor, Julie A; Van Doorn, Carin; ... Brown, Katherine L; + view all (2025) Risk models for monitoring post-operative complication rates after pediatric cardiac surgery. European Journal of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery , Article ezaf317. 10.1093/ejcts/ezaf317. (In press). Green open access
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Nambiar, B; Hargreaves, DS; Morroni, C; Heys, M; Crowe, S; Pagel, C; Fitzgerald, F; ... Colbourn, T; + view all (2017) Improving health-care quality in resource-poor settings. Bulletin of the World Health Organization , 95 (1) pp. 76-78. 10.2471/BLT.16.170803. Green open access
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Nanji, KC; Merry, AF; Shaikh, SD; Pagel, C; Deng, H; Wahr, JA; Gelb, AW; (2020) Global PRoMiSe (Perioperative Recommendations for Medication Safety): protocol for a mixed-methods study. BMJ Open , 10 (6) e038313-e038313. 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-038313. Green open access
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Pagel, C; (2022) The NHS is failing us, but we are failing it too. BMJ , 379 , Article o3060. 10.1136/bmj.o3060. Green open access
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Pagel, C; (2021) Schools: A gaping hole in England's covid strategy. The BMJ , 374 , Article n2115. 10.1136/bmj.n2115. Green open access
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Pagel, C; Squires, A; (2021) Schools: still a gaping hole in the English covid strategy. BMJ , 375 , Article n3149. 10.1136/bmj.n3149. Green open access
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Pagel, C; Yates, CA; (2021) Tackling the pandemic with (biased) data. Science , 374 (6566) pp. 403-404. 10.1126/science.abi6602. Green open access
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Pagel, Christina; (2024) What is the point of inquiries? BMJ , 386 , Article q1857. 10.1136/bmj.q1857. Green open access
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Pagel, Christina; (2024) Making pandemic planning part of the everyday. BMJ , 386 , Article q1847. 10.1136/bmj.q1847. Green open access
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Pagel, Christina; (2024) Covid inquiry report: We planned for failure. BMJ , 386 , Article q1633. 10.1136/bmj.q1633. Green open access
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Pagel, Christina; (2023) Covid is on the rise again-so what next? BMJ , 382 p. 1885. 10.1136/bmj.p1885. Green open access
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Pagel, Christina; (2022) The covid waves continue to come. BMJ , 377 , Article o1504. 10.1136/bmj.o1504. Green open access
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Pagel, Christina; (2022) "Back to normal" is not enough. Science , 375 (6585) p. 1069. 10.1126/science.abp8962. Green open access
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Pagel, Christina; Buse, Kent; McKee, Martin; (2024) Evidence abandoned: Trump's cabinet and the fallout for science. BMJ , 387 , Article q2654. 10.1136/bmj.q2654. Green open access
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Pagel, Christina; Robertson, Duncan A; Yates, Christian A; (2024) Foresight approaches for future health shocks: integration into policy making and accompanying research priorities. BMJ , 387 , Article e078647. 10.1136/bmj-2023-078647. Green open access
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Pagel, Christina; Wilde, Harrison; Tomlinson, Christopher; Mateen, Bilal; Brown, Katherine; (2023) A Methodological Framework for Assessing the Benefit of SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination following Previous Infection: Case Study of Five- to Eleven-Year-Olds. Vaccines , 11 (5) , Article 988. 10.3390/vaccines11050988. Green open access
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Pagel, Christina; Yates, Christian A; (2022) The NHS is facing the bleakest midwinter. The British Medical Journal , 379 , Article o2550. 10.1136/bmj.o2550. Green open access
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Pagel, Christina; Yates, Christian A; (2022) Role of mathematical modelling in future pandemic response policy. BMJ , 378 , Article e070615. 10.1136/bmj-2022-070615. Green open access
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Pagel, A; Bates, D; Goldmann, D; (2020) How to Avoid Common Pitfalls of Health IT Implementation. New England Journal of Medicine Catalyst 10.1056/CAT.20.0048. (In press). Green open access
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Pagel, C; (2021) There is a real danger that covid-19 will become entrenched as a disease of poverty. BMJ , 373 , Article n986. 10.1136/bmj.n986. Green open access
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Pagel, C; (2017) Health Care: What Do Republican and Democratic Legislators Really Want to Achieve? Harvard Health Policy Review Green open access
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Pagel, C; Balogh, A; (2001) A study of magnetic fluctuations and their anomalous scaling in the solar wind: The Ulysses fast-latitude scan. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics , 8 (4-5) pp. 313-330. 10.5194/npg-8-313-2001. Green open access
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Pagel, C; Banks, V; Pope, C; Whitmore, P; Brown, K; Goldman, A; Utley, M; (2017) Development, implementation and evaluation of a tool for forecasting short term demand for beds in an intensive care unit. Operations Research for Health Care , 15 pp. 19-31. 10.1016/j.orhc.2017.08.003. Green open access
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Pagel, C; Bates, DW; Goldmann, D; Koller, CF; (2017) A Way Forward for Bipartisan Health Reform? Democrat and Republican State Legislator Priorities for the Goals of Health Policy. American Journal of Public Health , 107 (10) pp. 1601-1603. 10.2105/AJPH.2017.304023. Green open access
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Pagel, C; Brown, KL; McLeod, I; Jepps, H; Wray, J; Chigaru, L; McLean, A; ... Utley, M; + view all (2017) Selection by a panel of clinicians and family representatives of important early morbidities associated with paediatric cardiac surgery suitable for routine monitoring using the nominal group technique and a robust voting process. BMJ Open , 7 (5) , Article e014743. 10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014743. Green open access
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Pagel, C; Bull, C; Utley, M; Wray, J; Barron, D; Stoica, S; Tibby, S; ... Brown, K; + view all (2019) Exploring communication between parents and clinical teams following children’s heart surgery: a survey in the UK. BMJ Paediatrics Open , 3 (1) , Article e000391. 10.1136/bmjpo-2018-000391. Green open access
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Pagel, C; Crooker, NU; Larson, DE; (2005) Assessing electron heat flux dropouts as signatures of magnetic field line disconnection from the Sun. Geophysical Research Letters , 32 (14) , Article L14105. 10.1029/2005GL023043. Green open access
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Pagel, C; Crowe, S; Brown, K; Utley, M; (2014) The benefits and risks of risk-adjustment in paediatric cardiac surgery. Heart , 100 pp. 528-529. 10.1136/heartjnl-2013-304848. Green open access
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Pagel, C; Jesper, E; Thomas, J; Blackshaw, E; Rakow, T; Pearson, M; Spiegelhalter, D; (2017) Understanding Children's Heart Surgery Data: A Cross-Disciplinary Approach to Codevelop a Website. The Annals of Thoracic Surgery , 104 (1) pp. 342-352. 10.1016/j.athoracsur.2016.11.080. Green open access
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Pagel, C; Lutman, D; Polke, E; Ray, S; Ramnarayan, P; (2016) Managing the winter surge in demand for resources. British Journal of Health Care Management , 22 (7) pp. 370-379. 10.12968/bjhc.2016.22.7.370. Green open access
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Pagel, C; Palmer, E; (2021) "We are setting ourselves on fire to keep everyone else warm"-what does the recovery look like for NHS staff? BMJ: British Medical Journal , 372 , Article n569. 10.1136/bmj.n569. Green open access
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Pagel, C; Prost, A; Hossen, M; Azad, K; Kuddus, A; Roy, SS; Nair, N; ... Crowe, S; + view all (2014) Is essential newborn care provided by institutions and after home births? Analysis of prospective data from community trials in rural South Asia. BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth , 14 (99) 10.1186/1471-2393-14-99. Green open access
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Pagel, C; Prost, A; Lewycka, S; Das, S; Colbourn, T; Mahapatra, R; Azad, K; ... Osrin, D; + view all (2011) Intracluster correlation coefficients and coefficients of variation for perinatal outcomes from five cluster-randomised controlled trials in low and middle-income countries: results and methodological implications. Trials , 12 , Article 151. 10.1186/1745-6215-12-151. Green open access
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Pagel, C; Ramnarayan, P; Ray, S; Peters, MJ; (2018) Development and implementation of a real time statistical control method to identify the start and end of the winter surge in demand for paediatric intensive care. European Journal of Operational Research , 264 (3) pp. 847-858. 10.1016/j.ejor.2016.08.023. Green open access
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Pagel, C; Ramnarayan, P; Ray, S; Peters, MJ; (2015) A Novel Method to Identify the Start and End of the Winter Surge in Demand for Pediatric Intensive Care in Real Time. Pediatric Critical Care Medicine , 16 (9) pp. 821-827. 10.1097/PCC.0000000000000540. Green open access
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Pagel, C; Rogers, L; Brown, K; Ambler, G; Anderson, D; Barron, D; Blackshaw, E; ... Witter, T; + view all (2017) Improving risk adjustment in the PRAiS (Partial Risk Adjustment in Surgery) model for mortality after paediatric cardiac surgery and improving public understanding of its use in monitoring outcomes. Health Services and Delivery Research , 5 (23) pp. 1-164. 10.3310/hsdr05230. Green open access
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Pagel, C; Utley, M; Crowe, S; Witter, T; Anderson, D; Samson, R; McLean, A; ... Brown, K; + view all (2013) Real time monitoring of risk-adjusted paediatric cardiac surgery outcomes using variable life-adjusted display: implementation in three UK centres. Heart , 99 (19) 1445 - 1450. 10.1136/heartjnl-2013-303671. Green open access
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Panovska-Griffiths, J; Crowe, S; Pagel, C; Shin, T; Grove, P; Utley, M; (2018) A method for evaluating and comparing immunisation schedules that cover multiple diseases: Illustrative application to the UK routine childhood vaccine schedule. Vaccine , 36 (35) pp. 5340-5347. 10.1016/j.vaccine.2018.05.083. Green open access
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Pierce, Carl A; Herold, Kevan C; Herold, Betsy C; Chou, Janet; Randolph, Adrienne; Kane, Binita; McFarland, Sammie; ... Hensley, Scott E; + view all (2022) COVID-19 and children. Science , 377 (6611) pp. 1144-1149. 10.1126/science.ade1675. Green open access
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Pimenta, D; Yates, C; Pagel, C; Gurdasani, D; (2021) Delaying the second dose of covid-19 vaccines. BMJ , 372 (8285) , Article n710. 10.1136/bmj.n710. Green open access
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Prost, A; Colbourn, T; Seward, N; Azad, K; Coomarasamy, A; Copas, A; Houweling, TA; ... Costello, A; + view all (2013) Women's groups practising participatory learning and action to improve maternal and newborn health in low-resource settings: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet , 381 (9879) 1736 - 1746. 10.1016/S0140-6736(13)60685-6. Green open access
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Rajagopal, V; Brown, K; Pagel, C; Wray, J; (2020) Parental understanding of our communication of morbidity associated with paediatric cardiac surgery: a qualitative study. BMJ Paediatrics Open , 4 (1) , Article e000578. 10.1136/bmjpo-2019-000578. Green open access
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Rakow, T; Blackshaw, E; Pagel, C; Spiegelhalter, DS; (2018) Comparing What to What, on What Scale? The Impact of Item Comparisons and Reference Points in Communicating Risk and Uncertainty. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making , 31 (4) pp. 547-561. 10.1002/bdm.2073. Green open access
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Ramnarayan, Padmanabhan; Seaton, Sarah; Evans, Ruth; Barber, Victoria; Hudson, Emma; Kung, Enoch; Entwistle, Matthew; ... Pagel, Christina; + view all (2022) Evaluation of timeliness and models of transporting critically ill children for intensive care: the DEPICT mixed-methods study. Health and Social Care Delivery Research , 10 (34) pp. 1-204. 10.3310/AFWJ6179. Green open access
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Ramnarayan, P; Evans, R; Draper, ES; Seaton, SE; Wray, J; Morris, S; Pagel, C; (2019) Differences in access to Emergency Paediatric Intensive Care and care during Transport (DEPICT): study protocol for a mixed methods study. BMJ Open , 9 (7) , Article e028000. 10.1136/bmjopen-2018-028000. Green open access
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Ray, S; Rogers, L; Pagel, C; Raman, S; Peters, MJ; Ramnarayan, P; (2017) PaO2/FIO2 Ratio Derived From the SpO2/FIO2 Ratio to Improve Mortality Prediction Using the Pediatric Index of Mortality-3 Score in Transported Intensive Care Admissions. Pediatric Critical Care Medicine , 18 (3) e131-e136. 10.1097/PCC.0000000000001075. Green open access
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Rogers, L; Barron, D; Tsang, V; Anderson, D; Tibby, S; Witter, T; Stickley, J; ... Pagel, C; + view all (2017) Incorporating comorbidity within risk adjustment for UK pediatric cardiac surgery. The Annals of Thoracic Surgery , 104 (1) pp. 220-226. 10.1016/j.athoracsur.2016.12.013. Green open access
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Rogers, L; Brown, KL; Franklin, RC; Ambler, G; Anderson, D; Barron, DJ; Crowe, S; ... Pagel, C; + view all (2017) Improving Risk Adjustment for Mortality After Pediatric Cardiac Surgery: The UK PRAiS2 Model. The Annals of Thoracic Surgery , 104 (1) pp. 211-219. 10.1016/j.athoracsur.2016.12.014. Green open access
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Rogers, L; Pagel, C; Sullivan, I; Mustafa, M; Tsang, V; Utley, M; Franklin, R; (2018) Interventional treatments and risk factors in patients born with hypoplastic left heart syndrome in England and Wales from 2000 to 2015. Heart 10.1136/heartjnl-2017-312448. Green open access
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Rogers, L; Pagel, C; Sullivan, ID; Mustafa, M; Tsang, V; Utley, M; Bull, C; ... Brown, KL; + view all (2017) Interventions and Outcomes in Children With Hypoplastic Left Heart Syndrome Born in England and Wales Between 2000 and 2015 Based on the National Congenital Heart Disease Audit. Circulation , 136 (18) pp. 1765-1767. 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.117.028784. Green open access
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SAGE, Independent; (2022) A seven point plan to suppress covid infections and reduce disruptions. BMJ , 378 , Article o1793. 10.1136/bmj.o1793. Green open access
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Seaton, SE; Ramnarayan, P; Pagel, C; Davies, P; Draper, ES; DEPICT Study Team; (2020) Impact on 30-day survival of time taken by a critical care transport team to reach the bedside of critically ill children. Intensive Care Medicine , 46 pp. 1953-1955. 10.1007/s00134-020-06149-5. Green open access
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Seaton, SE; Draper, ES; Pagel, C; Rajah, F; Wray, J; Ramnarayan, P; DEPICT Study Team; (2021) The effect of care provided by paediatric critical care transport teams on mortality of children transported to paediatric intensive care units in England and Wales: a retrospective cohort study. BMC Pediatrics , 21 , Article 217. 10.1186/s12887-021-02689-x. Green open access
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Seaton, SE; Ramnarayan, P; Davies, P; Hudson, E; Morris, S; Pagel, C; Rajah, F; ... DEPICT Study Team, .; + view all (2020) Does time taken by paediatric critical care transport teams to reach the bedside of critically ill children affect survival? A retrospective cohort study from England and Wales. BMC Pediatrics , 20 (1) , Article 301. 10.1186/s12887-020-02195-6. Green open access
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Taylor, JA; Crowe, S; Espuny Pujol, F; Franklin, RC; Feltbower, RG; Norman, LJ; Doidge, J; ... Pagel, C; + view all (2021) The road to hell is paved with good intentions: the experience of applying for national data for linkage and suggestions for improvement. BMJ Open , 11 (8) , Article e047575. 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-047575. Green open access
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Tripathy, P; Nair, N; Mahapatra, R; Rath, S; Gope, RK; Rath, S; Bajpai, A; ... Prost, A; + view all (2011) Community mobilisation with women's groups facilitated by Accredited Social Health Activists (ASHAs) to improve maternal and newborn health in underserved areas of Jharkhand and Orissa: study protocol for a cluster-randomised controlled trial. Trials , 12 , Article 182. 10.1186/1745-6215-12-182. Green open access
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Wilde, H; Mellan, T; Hawryluk, I; Dennis, JM; Denaxas, S; Pagel, C; Duncan, A; ... Vollmer, SJ; + view all (2021) The association between mechanical ventilator compatible bed occupancy and mortality risk in intensive care patients with COVID-19: a national retrospective cohort study. BMC Medicine , 19 , Article 213. 10.1186/s12916-021-02096-0. Green open access
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Wilde, Harrison; Tomlinson, Christopher; Mateen, Bilal A; Selby, David; Kanthimathinathan, Hari Krishnan; Denaxas, Spiros; Flaxman, Seth; ... CVD-COVID-UK/COVID-IMPACT Consortium; + view all (2024) Trends in Pediatric Hospital Admissions Caused or Contributed by SARS-CoV-2 Infection in England. The Journal of Pediatrics , Article 114370. 10.1016/j.jpeds.2024.114370. (In press). Green open access
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Williams, Simon; Michie, Susan; Pagel, Christina; Squires, Adam; (2022) The UK is an international outlier in its approach to covid in children. BMJ , 376 , Article o327. 10.1136/bmj.o327. Green open access
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Williams, Simon; Pagel, Christina; (2023) The NHS crisis is not an equal crisis. BMJ , 383 p. 2962. 10.1136/bmj.p2962. Green open access
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Wray, J; Pagel, C; Chester, AH; Kennedy, F; Crowe, S; (2021) What was the impact of the first wave of COVID-19 on the delivery of care to children and adults with congenital heart disease? A qualitative study using online forums. BMJ Open , 11 (9) , Article e049006. 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-049006. Green open access
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Wray, J; Ridout, D; Jones, A; Davis, P; Wellman, P; Rodrigues, W; Hudson, E; ... Brown, KL; + view all (2024) The Impact of Morbidities Following Pediatric Cardiac Surgery on Family Functioning and Parent Quality of Life. Pediatric Cardiology , 45 pp. 14-23. 10.1007/s00246-023-03312-9. Green open access
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Wray, J; Ridout, D; Jones, A; Davis, P; Wellman, P; Rodrigues, W; Hudson, E; ... Brown, KL; + view all (2020) Morbidities After Cardiac Surgery: Impact on Children's Quality of Life and Parents' Mental Health. The Annals of Thoracic Surgery , 112 (6) pp. 2055-2062. 10.1016/j.athoracsur.2020.11.003. Green open access
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Wray, Jo; Pagel, Christina; Coats, Louise; Chester, Adrian H; Kennedy, Fiona; Crowe, Sonya; (2024) What does good care look like to people living with congenital heart disease in the 21st century? Qualitative online, asynchronous discussion forums. BMJ Open , 14 (7) , Article e079691. 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-079691. Green open access
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Book

Utley, Martin; Crowe, Sonya; Pagel, Christina; (2022) Operational Research Approaches. Elements of Improving Quality and Safety in Healthcare. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK. Green open access
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Digital scholarly resource

Pagel, A; (2019) The crazy polling of Soft Brexit. [Digital scholarly resource]. https://www.politics.co.uk/comment-analysis/2019/0...

Pagel, A; Cooper, C; (2019) A country of purists: the polling which lays bare the death of any compromise on Brexit. [Digital scholarly resource]. https://www.politics.co.uk/comment-analysis/2019/0...

Pagel, A; Cooper, C; (2019) Everything you think you know about Leavers and Remainers is wrong. [Digital scholarly resource]. https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2019/06/e...

Pagel, A; Cooper, C; (2019) Polling analysis: The full extent of Britain's division brutally revealed. [Digital scholarly resource]. https://www.politics.co.uk/comment-analysis/2019/0...

This list was generated on Thu Jan 29 00:55:20 2026 GMT.