Long, Xinyi;
Chen, Bin;
Dai, Min;
Xie, Hongyi;
Chen, Peipei;
Meng, Jing;
Wang, Yutao;
(2025)
Ambitious climate targets can make the phaseout of India’s coal-fired power plants cost-beneficial.
Nature Communications
10.1038/s41467-025-66580-4.
(In press).
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Abstract
Given the urgency of climate change and the need for an energy transition, global coal power generation is rapidly declining. However, coal transition strategies optimized for cost-benefit and aligned with climate targets remain underexplored. Here, we develop a Plant-level Mixed-Integer Nonlinear Dynamic Optimization Model to conduct a cost-benefit optimization analysis for India’s coal-fired power plants, through which the study proposes differentiated phaseout roadmaps aligned with the 1.5 °C and 2 °C climate targets. Our findings suggest that ambitious climate targets can yield more significant economic benefits, and more aggressive coal power retirement strategies are economically feasible. For example, Chhattisgarh and Uttar Pradesh could achieve the total net benefits of 171 and 110 billion US dollars in the 1.5 °C and 2 °C scenarios. Furthermore, incorporating social benefits into the evaluation will enhance the feasibility of the coal phaseout and reinforce India’s decarbonization commitments.
| Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Title: | Ambitious climate targets can make the phaseout of India’s coal-fired power plants cost-beneficial |
| Location: | England |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.1038/s41467-025-66580-4 |
| Publisher version: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-66580-4 |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License, which permits any non-commercial use, sharing, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if you modified the licensed material. You do not have permission under this licence to share adapted material derived from this article or parts of it. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/. |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10218021 |
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