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Transfer learning for multifidelity simulation-based inference in cosmology

Saoulis, AA; Piras, D; Jeffrey, N; Spurio Mancini, A; Ferreira, AMG; Joachimi, B; (2025) Transfer learning for multifidelity simulation-based inference in cosmology. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society , 542 (4) , Article staf1436. 10.1093/mnras/staf1436. Green open access

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Abstract

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables cosmological parameter estimation when closed-form likelihoods or models are unavailable. However, SBI relies on machine learning for neural compression and density estimation. This requires large training data sets which are prohibitively expensive for high-quality simulations. We overcome this limitation with multifidelity transfer learning, combining less expensive, lower fidelity simulations with a limited number of high-fidelity simulations. We demonstrate our methodology on dark matter density maps from two separate simulation suites in the hydrodynamical CAMELS Multifield Data set. Pre-training on dark-matter-only N-body simulations reduces the required number of high-fidelity hydrodynamical simulations by a factor between 8 and 15, depending on the model complexity, posterior dimensionality, and performance metrics used. By leveraging cheaper simulations, our approach enables performant and accurate inference on high-fidelity models while substantially reducing computational costs.

Type: Article
Title: Transfer learning for multifidelity simulation-based inference in cosmology
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1093/mnras/staf1436
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/staf1436
Language: English
Additional information: © The Author(s) 2025. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Royal Astronomical Society. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Keywords: Methods: statistical, software: machine learning, cosmology: cosmological parameters, dark matter, large-scale structure of Universe
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Dept of Physics and Astronomy
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10217022
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