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No Consistent Simulated Trends in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation for the Past 6,000 Years

Jiang, Zhiyi; Brierley, Chris M; Bader, Jürgen; Braconnot, Pascale; Erb, Michael; Hopcroft, Peter O; Jiang, Dabang; ... Zhang, Qiong; + view all (2023) No Consistent Simulated Trends in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation for the Past 6,000 Years. Geophysical Research Letters , 50 (10) , Article e2023GL103078. 10.1029/2023gl103078. Green open access

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Abstract

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a key feature of the North Atlantic with global ocean impacts. The AMOC's response to past changes in forcings during the Holocene provides important context for the coming centuries. Here, we investigate AMOC trends using an emerging set of transient simulations using multiple global climate models for the past 6,000 years. Although some models show changes, no consistent trend in overall AMOC strength during the mid-to-late Holocene emerges from the ensemble. We interpret this result to suggest no overall change in AMOC, which fits with our assessment of available proxy reconstructions. The decadal variability of the AMOC does not change in ensemble during the mid- and late-Holocene. There are interesting AMOC changes seen in the early Holocene, but their nature depends a lot on which inputs are used to drive the experiment.

Type: Article
Title: No Consistent Simulated Trends in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation for the Past 6,000 Years
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl103078
Publisher version: http://doi.org/10.1029/2023gl103078
Language: English
Additional information: © 2023. The Authors. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Keywords: AMOC, Holocene
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Geography
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10169967
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