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The demand for money and the real exchange rate misalignments in emerging European countries: A nonlinear approach

Uz Akdogan, Idil; (2022) The demand for money and the real exchange rate misalignments in emerging European countries: A nonlinear approach. Bulletin of Economic Research 10.1111/boer.12380. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

This paper investigates the extent to which domestic and foreign money balances in emerging European countries are influenced by foreign exchange considerations. A well-specified and stable relationship between real money demand and the exchange rate can be perceived as an important part of a successful monetary policy. This study examines the long-run determinants of real exchange rates (RERs)associated with the behavioral equilibrium exchange rate (BEER) approach and identifies currency misalignments in these countries. The misalignment is later used to test the nonlinear behavior of the demand for money. The results indicate that the RER misalignments have a significant impact on domestic money demand. When the currencies are overvalued, there is a reduction in domestic money demand, and when they are undervalued, there is an increase in domestic money demand. Furthermore, it can be concluded that overvaluation causes an increase in foreign money demand indicating a shift of preference from domestic to foreign currency.

Type: Article
Title: The demand for money and the real exchange rate misalignments in emerging European countries: A nonlinear approach
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1111/boer.12380
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1111/boer.12380
Language: English
Additional information: © 2022 The Authors. Bulletin of Economic Research published by Trustees of the Bulletin of Economic Research and John Wiley & Sons Ltd. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Keywords: behavioral equilibrium exchange rate, demand for money, misalignments, real exchange rates, smooth transition regression
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > SSEES
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10163329
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