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Beyond simulation: designing for uncertainty and robust solutions

Hanna, S; Hesselgren, L; Gonzalez, V; Vargas, I; (2010) Beyond simulation: designing for uncertainty and robust solutions. In: Proceedings of the 2010 Spring Simulation Multiconference (SpringSim '10). ACM Press: New York, US. Green open access

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Abstract

Simulation is an increasingly essential tool in the design of our environment, but any model is only as good as the initial assumptions on which it is built. This paper aims to outline some of the limits and potential dangers of reliance on simulation, and suggests how to make our models, and our buildings, more robust with respect to the uncertainty we face in design. It argues that the single analyses provided by most simulations display too precise and too narrow a result to be maximally useful in design, and instead a broader description is required, as might be provided by many differing simulations. Increased computing power now allows this in many areas. Suggestions are made for the further development of simulation tools for design, in that these increased resources should be dedicated not simply to the accuracy of single solutions, but to a bigger picture that takes account of a design’s robustness to change, multiple phenomena that cannot be predicted, and the wider range of possible solutions. Methods for doing so, including statistical methods, adaptive modelling, machine learning and pattern recognition algorithms for identifying persistent structures in models, will be identified. We propose a number of avenues for future research and how these fit into design process, particularly in the case of the design of very large buildings.

Type: Proceedings paper
Title: Beyond simulation: designing for uncertainty and robust solutions
Event: SimAUD 2010, Symposium on Simulation for Architecture and Urban Design at the 2010 Spring Simulation Multiconference
Location: Orlando, US
Dates: 2010-04-11 - 2010-04-15
ISBN-13: 9781450300698
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1145/1878537.1878727
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/1878537.1878727
Additional information: Article number 182. © ACM, 2010. This is the author's version of the work. It is posted here by permission of ACM for your personal use. Not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in 'Hanna, S and Hesselgren, L and Gonzalez, V and Vargas, I (2010) Beyond simulation: designing for uncertainty and robust solutions. In: Proceedings of the 2010 Spring Simulation Multiconference (SpringSim '10). ACM Press: New York, US'. http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/1878537.1878727'
Keywords: design, decision support, interaction techniques, simulation, visualisation
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > The Bartlett School of Architecture
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/20268
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