Fenton-Glynn, L;
(2017)
Imprecise Best System Chances.
In: Romeijn, J-W and Massimi, M and Schurz, G, (eds.)
EPSA15 Selected Papers. European Studies in Philosophy of Science.
(pp. pp. 297-308).
Springer, Cham
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Abstract
Attention has been paid to the prospects of the Best System Analysis (BSA) for yielding high-level chances, including statistical mechanical and special science chances. But a foundational worry about the BSA lurks: there don't appear to be uniquely appropriate measures of the degree to which a system exhibits the theoretical virtues of simplicity, strength, and fit, nor a uniquely appropriate way of balancing the virtues in determining a best system. I argue that there's a set systems for our world that are tied-for-best given the limits of precision of the notions of simplicity, strength, fit, and balance. Some of these systems entail different high-level chances. I argue that the Best System analyst should conclude that (some of) the chances for our world are imprecise.
| Type: | Proceedings paper |
|---|---|
| Title: | Imprecise Best System Chances |
| Event: | European Philosophy of Science Association Conference 2015 |
| Location: | Dusseldorf, Germany |
| ISBN-13: | 978-3-319-53729-0 |
| DOI: | 10.1007/978-3-319-53730-6_24 |
| Publisher version: | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-53730-6_24 |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions. |
| Keywords: | Imprecise probability, chance, Best System Analysis |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of Arts and Humanities UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of Arts and Humanities > Dept of Philosophy |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1503920 |
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