Glynn, L;
(2011)
A Probabilistic Analysis of Causation.
The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science
, 62
(2)
pp. 343-392.
10.1093/bjps/axq015.
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Abstract
The starting point in the development of probabilistic analyses of token causation has usually been the naïve intuition that, in some relevant sense, a cause raises the probability of its effect. But there are well-known examples both of non-probability-raising causation and of probability-raising non-causation. Sophisticated extant probabilistic analyses treat many such cases correctly, but only at the cost of excluding the possibilities of direct non-probability-raising causation, failures of causal transitivity, action-at-a-distance, prevention, and causation by absence and omission. I show that an examination of the structure of these problem cases suggests a different treatment, one which avoids the costs of extant probabilistic analyses.
| Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Title: | A Probabilistic Analysis of Causation |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.1093/bjps/axq015 |
| Publisher version: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/bjps/axq015 |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | This is a pre-copyedited, author-produced PDF of an article accepted for publication in The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science following peer review. The version of record, Glynn, L; (2011) A Probabilistic Analysis of Causation. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 62 (2) pp. 343-392, is available online at: http://dx/doi.org/10.1093/bjps/axq015. |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of Arts and Humanities UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of Arts and Humanities > Dept of Philosophy |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1406966 |
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