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Can transport infrastructure really facilitate economic activity concentration? A spatial and temporal spillover perspective

Liu, Xiang; Hickman, Robin; Cao, Mengqiu; Tao, Yinhua; (2026) Can transport infrastructure really facilitate economic activity concentration? A spatial and temporal spillover perspective. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice , 204 , Article 104831. 10.1016/j.tra.2025.104831. Green open access

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Abstract

A key unresolved research question in the field of transport and city planning is whether investment in transport infrastructure effectively affects the spatial concentration of economic activity within a city. The question becomes even more complex due to the spatial and temporal spillover effects of transport infrastructure on economic activities, as well as the variations in types of transport infrastructure and categories of economic activity. With long-term and fine-grained geospatial data, this study uses the spatial dynamic panel data approach to examine the relationship between transport infrastructure and economic activity concentration in Shanghai from 2005 to 2015. The results reveal that proximity to metro stations is more strongly associated with the concentration of service activities, whereas highways exert a more sustained and spatially extensive influence on the concentration of manufacturing activities. The findings highlight the significant yet heterogeneous impacts of transport infrastructure on urban economic spatial patterns.

Type: Article
Title: Can transport infrastructure really facilitate economic activity concentration? A spatial and temporal spillover perspective
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2025.104831
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2025.104831
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. It has been made open access under the Creative Commons (CC BY) licence under the terms of the UCL Intellectual Property (IP) Policy and UCL Publications Policy.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > The Bartlett School of Planning
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10219388
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