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Not just a North–South divide: the geography of opportunity in England

Carneiro, Pedro; Foliano, Francesca; Krutikova, Sonya; Loh, Julia; Macmillan, Lindsey; (2025) Not just a North–South divide: the geography of opportunity in England. Fiscal Studies 10.1111/1475-5890.70012. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

The United Kingdom is one of the most spatially unequal countries in the OECD. This paper investigates how the link between opportunity and childhood background varies across England. We use administrative data linking education records and labour market outcomes to study how the socio-economic conditions in the residential neighbourhood where one grows up are associated with earnings in adulthood. We find that the strength of this relationship varies sharply across England and that there are large differences in earnings of those who grew up in equally poor neighbourhoods in different parts of the country. While the North–South divide is evident, we also find significant variation within regions. A group that stands out is young women and men who grew up in poor neighbourhoods of regional cities (large cities outside of London) whose earnings are significantly lower than those of counterparts outside the cities. Two themes run through our analysis: substantial gender differences in key trends, and the fact that greater equality of opportunity within a place does not always translate into better outcomes for the disadvantaged. Key policy implications include the need to consider highly localised inequalities, gender differences, and whether greater equality is achieved through better opportunities for the disadvantaged.

Type: Article
Title: Not just a North–South divide: the geography of opportunity in England
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1111/1475-5890.70012
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-5890.70012
Language: English
Additional information: Copyright © 2025 The Author(s). Fiscal Studies published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Institute for Fiscal Studies. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Keywords: Childhood neighbourhood, equality of of opportunity, geography
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Economics
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10219118
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