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Methodological review reveals essential gaps and inconsistencies in clinical claims, effects and outcomes in HTA reviews of diagnostic tests

Dinnes, Jacqueline; Davenport, Clare; Harris, Isobel M; Ferrante di Ruffano, Lavinia; Mallett, Sue; Takwoingi, Yemisi; Deeks, Jonathan J; (2025) Methodological review reveals essential gaps and inconsistencies in clinical claims, effects and outcomes in HTA reviews of diagnostic tests. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology , Article 112040. 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2025.112040. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

Background: Essential first steps in performing a health technology assessment (HTA) for a diagnostic test include: consideration of the clinical pathway in which the test will be used, specifying the clinical claim for the test (how the test may add benefit, introduce harm or have other disadvantages beyond impact on the individual patient), and specifying the outcomes that would need to be measured to assess whether the test achieves its aims. We aimed to examine how a test evaluation framework (TEF) outlining the intended and unintended effects of tests could support the HTA process, and to identify additional ways in which tests add benefit or introduce harm. // Method: We included 45 HTAs reporting 50 review questions. The study focused on HTA reports with a full English-language evidence review, clear methods and results sections, and evaluations of a single testing strategy or technology type. We looked for mechanisms of effect included in, and additional to, a TEF previously published by our group. // Results: The clinical pathway and positioning of the new test were described in 98% of review questions (49/50), and illustrated in 62% (31/50). The test’s clinical claims were easily identifiable in 56% (28/50). Claims, mechanisms of effect and pre-specified outcomes were frequently not coherent. For instance, at least one constituent test effect mechanism (mainly timing- and confidence-related mechanisms) could not be linked to pre-specified outcomes in 54% of reviews. Most HTAs (41, 82%) listed outcomes to be evaluated in the evidence reviews that we were unable to link to the claims for the tests (acceptability of the test, test failures, accuracy, therapeutic yield and effectiveness). Four mechanisms of effect additional to those in the existing TEF were identified. Two concerned impact on individuals beyond the person being tested and two concerned organisational impact. // Conclusions: Important gaps and inconsistencies in the reporting of test claims and associated outcomes in HTA reviews risks incomplete appraisal of a test’s impact to patients and the healthcare system. We recommend tools are developed to support and standardise this complex process. This could be facilitated by tools in development and an expanded TEF.

Type: Article
Title: Methodological review reveals essential gaps and inconsistencies in clinical claims, effects and outcomes in HTA reviews of diagnostic tests
Location: United States
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2025.112040
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclinepi.2025.112040
Language: English
Additional information: This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons CC-BY license, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Keywords: Diagnostic tests; health technology assessment; value proposition; test effects; test accuracy; clinical pathway
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences > Div of Medicine
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences > Div of Medicine > Department of Imaging
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10216999
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