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The evolution and implications of national energy cost shares

Agnolucci, P; De Lipsis, V; Gencer, D; Lartey, A; Grubb, M; (2025) The evolution and implications of national energy cost shares. Energy Economics , 148 , Article 108616. 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108616. Green open access

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Abstract

Energy cost share is a key indicator to assess the importance of energy in an economy, to highlight the potential exposure of energy-importing countries to international price shocks, and to understand the implications for the national economy of introducing carbon pricing or energy subsidies reforms. We construct a global dataset to study the evolution of national energy cost shares over time and their relationship with energy prices. On these data we estimate a theoretically grounded econometric model and we obtain a wide set of findings that have important implications for policy. The main findings are that economies have a strong capacity to adapt to higher energy prices also through technological innovation, but the time for this adjustment can be very long; the ability to reduce energy intensity in response to higher energy prices has improved over time; both energy efficiency policies and certain macroeconomic characteristics of the country can help in facilitating the adjustment avoiding an excessive increase in energy cost share.

Type: Article
Title: The evolution and implications of national energy cost shares
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108616
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108616
Language: English
Additional information: © 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Keywords: Energy cost share, Energy income share, Energy subsidies, Energy Intensity, Energy price elasticity, Energy efficiency, carbon price
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Bartlett School Env, Energy and Resources
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10213385
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