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A Formal Theory of Mood Instability

Zavlis, Orestis; Bentall, Richard P; Fonagy, Peter; Rigoli, Francesco; (2025) A Formal Theory of Mood Instability. Clinical Psychological Science 10.1177/21677026251363862. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

Despite empirical progress, theoretical understanding of mood instability remains stagnant. A major reason for this stagnation concerns the field’s reliance on narrative theories that cannot integrate disparate quantitative perspectives on mood dynamics. Here, we address the limitations of narrative theorizing by developing a formal theory of mood instability. Our theory is predicated on the computational process of “evaluation”: the process of appraising the value of stimuli, which has long been theorized to be central to mood dynamics. Building on reinforcement-learning models of evaluation, we propose a dynamic framework, which we use to simulate various evaluative situations. Our simulations can generate and thereby formally integrate three well-known types of mood instability: emotional rigidity/inertia, transience/instability, and sensitivity/reactivity. We discuss how this formal perspective could enhance the theory, clinical utility, and measurement of mood instability.

Type: Article
Title: A Formal Theory of Mood Instability
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1177/21677026251363862
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1177/21677026251363862
Language: English
Additional information: © The Author(s) 2025. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits non-commercial use, reproduction and distribution of the work without further permission provided the original work is attributed as specified on the SAGE and Open Access page (https://us.sagepub.com/en-us/nam/open-access-at-sage).
Keywords: affective disorders, computer simulation, cognition and emotion, open data, open materials
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > Div of Psychology and Lang Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > Div of Psychology and Lang Sciences > Clinical, Edu and Hlth Psychology
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10213214
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