Chakraborti, Tapabrata; Banerji, Christopher RS; Marandon, Ariane; Hellon, Vicky; Mitra, Robin; Lehmann, Brieuc; Bräuninger, Leandra; ... MacArthur, Ben; + view all Chakraborti, Tapabrata; Banerji, Christopher RS; Marandon, Ariane; Hellon, Vicky; Mitra, Robin; Lehmann, Brieuc; Bräuninger, Leandra; McGough, Sarah; Turkay, Cagatay; Frangi, Alejandro F; Bianconi, Ginestra; Li, Weizi; Rackham, Owen; Parashar, Deepak; Harbron, Chris; MacArthur, Ben; - view fewer (2025) Personalized uncertainty quantification in artificial intelligence. Nature Machine Intelligence , 7 pp. 522-530. 10.1038/s42256-025-01024-8.

Text puq.pdf - Accepted Version Access restricted to UCL open access staff until 24 October 2025. Download (436kB)

Abstract

Artificial intelligence (AI) tools are increasingly being used to help make consequential decisions about individuals. While AI models may be accurate on average, they can simultaneously be highly uncertain about outcomes associated with specific individuals or groups of individuals. For high-stakes applications (such as healthcare and medicine, defence and security, banking and finance), AI decision-support systems must be able to make personalized assessments of uncertainty in a rigorous manner. However, the statistical frameworks needed to do so are currently incomplete. Here, we outline current approaches to personalized uncertainty quantification (PUQ) and define a set of grand challenges associated with the development and use of PUQ in a range of areas, including multimodal AI, explainable AI, generative AI and AI fairness.

Download activity - last month

Export as XMLCSVJSON

Download activity - last 12 months

Export as CSVXMLJSON

Downloads by country - last 12 months

Export as JSONCSVXML

Archive Staff Only

View Item