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Indoor thermal environmental assessment of the UK’s first Passivhaus-certified extra care scheme under current and projected future climate scenarios

Macha, Bhargav; Mavrogianni, Anna; Raslan, Rokia; Lomas, Seb Laan; Lumley, Mark; (2025) Indoor thermal environmental assessment of the UK’s first Passivhaus-certified extra care scheme under current and projected future climate scenarios. In: Proceedings of the CIBSE IBPSA-England Technical Symposium 2025. (pp. pp. 1-25). CIBSE: London, UK. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

This paper examines the thermal performance of the UK’s first Passivhaus-certified extra care home, assessing its resilience under current and projected climate scenarios. A mixed-methods approach—comprising environmental monitoring, dynamic thermal modelling, and semistructured stakeholder interviews—evaluates indoor dry bulb temperature, relative humidity, and CO₂ levels across key spaces. A month’s monitoring in summer indicates stable indoor temperatures between 23°C and 25°C, though high-traffic zones show variability of up to 0.5°C due to frequent door use. Dynamic thermal modelling across future climate scenarios indicates that, while the building meets comfort thresholds under current and near-term conditions, extreme cases, such as the 2080s high-emissions 90th percentile scenario, reveal a 4.6°C increase in median outdoor temperatures, leading to thermal comfort threshold exceedance in 12.3% of occupied hours. Stakeholder insights emphasise the need for adaptable cooling mechanisms and suggest enhancing passive strategies, such as adding external shading, to support occupant comfort as climate conditions evolve.

Type: Proceedings paper
Title: Indoor thermal environmental assessment of the UK’s first Passivhaus-certified extra care scheme under current and projected future climate scenarios
Event: CIBSE IBPSA-England Technical Symposium 2025
Location: London, England
Dates: 24 Apr 2025 - 25 Apr 2025
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
Publisher version: https://www.cibse.org/policy-insight/news/cibse-an...
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Passivhaus, Extra care, Residential care, Thermal performance, Climate resilience
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Bartlett School Env, Energy and Resources
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10211444
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