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Tracking Learning Outcomes in Ethiopia: How Large-Scale Educational Reform Shaped Student Attainment from 2012/13 to 2018/19

Araya, Mesele; Rolleston, Caine; Rose, Pauline; Sabates, Ricardo; Tiruneh, Dawit; Woldehanna, Tassew; (2025) Tracking Learning Outcomes in Ethiopia: How Large-Scale Educational Reform Shaped Student Attainment from 2012/13 to 2018/19. Africa Education Review 10.1080/18146627.2025.2504043. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

This study examines the impact of Ethiopia’s General Education Quality Improvement Programme Phase II (GEQIP-II) by comparing the learning outcomes of two grade 4 cohorts, one before and one after its implementation. Using student learning data collected in 2012/13 (pre-reform cohort) and 2018/19 (post-reform cohort), we matched the data at the school level while controlling for baseline characteristics. The results indicate that the post-reform cohort began grade 4 with a lower average test score than the pre-reform cohort. However, over the academic year, the post-reform cohort showed a modestly higher learning gain, especially in rural schools. This suggests that the reform contributed to higher learning progress over the school year, albeit from a lower initial learning level that might be attributed to the unprecedented expansion of education and the influx of first-generation learners into the system driven by the reform itself. These findings highlight the need for policies that sustain learning progress while simultaneously improving access.

Type: Article
Title: Tracking Learning Outcomes in Ethiopia: How Large-Scale Educational Reform Shaped Student Attainment from 2012/13 to 2018/19
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1080/18146627.2025.2504043
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1080/18146627.2025.2504043
Language: English
Additional information: This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. The terms on which this article has been published allow the posting of the Accepted Manuscript in a repository by the author(s) or with their consent.
Keywords: GEQIP-II; educational reform; learning progress; value-added learning; Ethiopia
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education > UCL Institute of Education
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education > UCL Institute of Education > IOE - Education, Practice and Society
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10210737
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