Tupper, Andrew; Fearnley, Carina; Kelman, Ilan; (2023) Translating Warnings into Action – How We Can Improve Early Warning Systems to Protect Communities. UCL Warning Research Centre: London, UK.

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Abstract

Early warnings for hazards are essential for living safely and minimising economic losses. For many hazards, it is possible to give advance notice and accurate information to help communities prepare and respond. However, issuance of the warning itself is not enough for a warning system to be effective, as the effectiveness of warnings is determined by the quality of the overall response. Successful early warning systems rest on long-term foundations, including strong relationships, good governance, a multi-hazard approach, and explicit consideration of diversity and vulnerability in the community. The systems built on those foundations should incorporate a strong understanding of community risk, the best possible science and observations for giving advance and accurate information, well developed and tested preparedness and response capabilities, and empowering, inclusive communication of potential hazard impacts to communities and individuals. Early warning systems should integrate ‘top-down’ and ‘bottom-up’ approaches to achieve a community-focused, co-production approach at local, national, and international levels.

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