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Demographic interactions between the last hunter-gatherers and the first farmers

Cortell-Nicolau, A; Rivas, J; Crema, ER; Shennan, S; García-Puchol, O; Kolář, J; Staniuk, R; (2025) Demographic interactions between the last hunter-gatherers and the first farmers. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences , 122 (14) , Article e2416221122. 10.1073/pnas.2416221122. Green open access

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Abstract

Demographic interaction processes play a pivotal role during episodes of cultural diffusion between different populations, particularly when these episodes can lead to competition for the same resources and geographic space. The diffusion of farming is one prototypical case within this broader scenario, where groups of incumbent hunter-gatherers occupied a space which would later be claimed by expanding farmers. In this work, we tackle such processes through a two-population mathematical model, where farmers and foragers compete and interact in the same geographic space. We present this work as a conceptual approach where, first, we assess the implications of our theoretical model and its general applicability and, second, we empirically test it on three case studies: Denmark, Eastern Iberia, and the island of Kyushu (Japan). While these regional case studies do not encompass the full range of processes observed in the interaction between migrant farmers and incumbent hunter-gatherers they provide reasonable variation to illustrate how our model can be fitted to a diverse range of empirical data and provide insights into these demographic processes. In particular, our theoretical model and case studies illustrate how endogenous interaction processes alone can explain the demographic fluctuations observed in the archaeological record during this transition, highlighting how these should be accounted for before invoking external forces as primary drivers.

Type: Article
Title: Demographic interactions between the last hunter-gatherers and the first farmers
Location: United States
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2416221122
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2416221122
Language: English
Additional information: Copyright © 2025 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (CC BY).
Keywords: demographic interaction, dynamic modelling, farming expansion, group competition, population dynamics, Humans, Farmers, Agriculture, Archaeology, Denmark, Population Dynamics, Japan, Models, Theoretical, Demography, Human Migration, History, Ancient
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences > Div of Biosciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences > Div of Biosciences > Genetics, Evolution and Environment
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Institute of Archaeology
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Institute of Archaeology > Institute of Archaeology Gordon Square
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10207707
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