Kandt, Jens;
van Dijk, Justin;
Todd, James;
(2025)
How do major public transport investments induce gentrification? Evidence from consumer data.
Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment
, 142
, Article 104684. 10.1016/j.trd.2025.104684.
(In press).
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Abstract
Transit-induced gentrification is a context-dependent phenomenon. Since most empirical studies have analysed single transport investments, the moderating role of local contextual factors is not well understood. This study uses consumer registers and municipal data to investigate within which time frame and under which geographical and economic conditions, transport investments give rise to gentrification. We analyse 19 major bus rapid transit (BRT), light rail transit or tram (LRT) and local heavy rail transport interventions that opened in England and Scotland since 2009. Employing a quasi-experimental analytical framework, we detect some modest signals that transport investments attract new residents – especially residents from more affluent areas – and generate neighbourhood churn. Furthermore, we discover heterogeneous effects among the 19 schemes and find that gentrification occurs more often in local authorities that show lower economic growth and lower labour market participation. Neighbourhood churn appears to be higher in more dynamic local authorities with a stronger skills base.
| Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Title: | How do major public transport investments induce gentrification? Evidence from consumer data |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.trd.2025.104684 |
| Publisher version: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2025.104684 |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | © 2025 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). |
| Keywords: | Consumer data, Residential mobility, Quasi-experimental design, Transit-induced gentrification, Public transport investments, Neighbourhood social impacts |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Geography |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10206070 |
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