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Examining the relationship between ethnicity, school attainment and higher education participation in England

Martin, Paul; (2025) Examining the relationship between ethnicity, school attainment and higher education participation in England. Research Papers in Education pp. 1-22. 10.1080/02671522.2025.2464737. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

Analyses of administrative data have revealed that during the 1990s and early twenty-first century, young people in England from ethnic minority backgrounds appeared to have a greater propensity to participate in higher education than their white British counterparts. This paper presents the results of an analysis of linked administrative data for the entire cohort of English school pupils who took their GCSE examinations in 2015 (n = 565,169) to further investigate recent trends in HE participation by ethnicity. In line with previous research, school pupils from almost all ethnic minority backgrounds were found to be more likely to progress to degree-level study by the age of 19 than those of white British ethnicity. Large gaps in the likelihood of HE participation by ethnicity could not be explained by other confounding variables such as prior attainment or socioeconomic background. However, gaps in HE participation by ethnicity were relatively narrow for those with higher levels of school attainment but were very wide for those with below-average school attainment. Unlike their white British counterparts, lower attaining school pupils from ethnic minority backgrounds appear to have a strong inclination towards degree-level study, as opposed to possible alternative pathways.

Type: Article
Title: Examining the relationship between ethnicity, school attainment and higher education participation in England
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1080/02671522.2025.2464737
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1080/02671522.2025.2464737
Language: English
Additional information: © 2025 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, and is not altered, transformed, or built upon in any way. The terms on which this article has been published allow the posting of the Accepted Manuscript in a repository by the author(s) or with their consent.
Keywords: Ethnicity; higher education; widening participation; social mobility
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education > UCL Institute of Education
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education > UCL Institute of Education > IOE - Learning and Leadership
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education > UCL Institute of Education > IOE - Learning and Leadership > Centre for Education Policy and Equalising Opportunities
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10204680
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