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Prospective Association of the Mediterranean Diet with the Onset of Cardiometabolic Multimorbidity in a UK-Based Cohort: The EPIC-Norfolk Study

Wang, Q; Schmidt, AF; Wannamethee, SG; (2024) Prospective Association of the Mediterranean Diet with the Onset of Cardiometabolic Multimorbidity in a UK-Based Cohort: The EPIC-Norfolk Study. Journal of Nutrition , 154 (12) pp. 3761-3769. 10.1016/j.tjnut.2024.10.027. Green open access

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Abstract

Background: Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM), defined as the co-occurrence of 2 or more cardiometabolic diseases, including myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, and type 2 diabetes (T2D), is an increasing public health challenge. Although poor diet is a known risk factor for a first cardiometabolic disease (FCMD), the relationship with subsequent occurrence of CMM is less studied. Objectives: This study aims to investigate the prospective association between baseline adherence to the Mediterranean diet and the onset of CMM across various follow-up durations. Methods: We used data from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer-Norfolk cohort study of 21,900 adults, aged 40–79 free of prevalent MI, stroke, and T2D at baseline (1993–1997). A median-based Mediterranean diet score and a pyramid-based MDS (pyr-MDS) were used to measure baseline adherence to the Mediterranean diet. Multistate modeling was employed to investigate associations with the FCMD and the subsequent CMM event. Results: Over the entire follow-up period of 21.4 y (median), we observed 5028 FCMD and 734 CMM events. Multistate analysis indicated that the association between baseline Mediterranean diet and the risk of CMM may be stronger in shorter follow-up durations. Particularly, baseline pyr-MDS was significantly associated with the risk of subsequent CMM transitioning from FCMD when follow-up durations were limited to 10 and 15 y, with hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) being 0.67 (0.53, 0.84) and 0.80 (0.70, 0.92) per SD increase in pyr-MDS, respectively. Additionally, we observed that the risk of CMM transitioning from FCMD was modified by social class across shorter to longer follow-ups, where the impact of baseline Mediterranean diet was only significant in nonmanual workers. Conclusions: Baseline adherence to the Mediterranean diet was potentially associated with a lower risk of CMM transitioning from FCMD, particularly during shorter follow-up periods.

Type: Article
Title: Prospective Association of the Mediterranean Diet with the Onset of Cardiometabolic Multimorbidity in a UK-Based Cohort: The EPIC-Norfolk Study
Location: United States
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.tjnut.2024.10.027
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tjnut.2024.10.027
Language: English
Additional information: © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. on behalf of American Society for Nutrition. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Keywords: Mediterranean diet, cardiometabolic disease, cardiometabolic health, cardiometabolic multimorbidity, multimorbidity, Humans, Diet, Mediterranean, Middle Aged, Female, Male, United Kingdom, Adult, Aged, Prospective Studies, Multimorbidity, Cohort Studies, Cardiovascular Diseases, Risk Factors, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Cardiovascular Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Epidemiology and Health
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Cardiovascular Science > Population Science and Experimental Medicine
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Epidemiology and Health > Primary Care and Population Health
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10202636
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