Ma, Deqiang;
Abrahms, Briana;
Allgeier, Jacob;
Newbold, Tim;
Weeks, Brian C;
Carter, Neil H;
(2024)
Global expansion of human-wildlife overlap in the 21st century.
Science Advances
, 10
(34)
, Article eadp7706. 10.1126/sciadv.adp7706.
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Abstract
Understanding the extent to which people and wildlife overlap in space and time is critical for the conservation of biodiversity and ecological services. Yet, how global change will reshape the future of human-wildlife overlap has not been assessed. We show that the potential spatial overlap of global human populations and 22,374 terrestrial vertebrate species will increase across ~56.6% and decrease across only ~11.8% of the Earth's terrestrial surface by 2070. Increases are driven primarily by intensification of human population densities, not change in wildlife distributions caused by climate change. The strong spatial heterogeneity of future human-wildlife overlap found in our study makes it clear that local context is imperative to consider, and more targeted area-based land-use planning should be integrated into systematic conservation planning.
| Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Title: | Global expansion of human-wildlife overlap in the 21st century |
| Location: | United States |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.1126/sciadv.adp7706 |
| Publisher version: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adp7706 |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | © 2024 The Authors. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). |
| Keywords: | Humans, Animals, Conservation of Natural Resources, Animals, Wild, Climate Change, Biodiversity, Ecosystem, Population Density, Population Dynamics |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences > Div of Biosciences UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences > Div of Biosciences > Genetics, Evolution and Environment |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10196354 |
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