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Association between changes in cardiovascular health and the risk of multimorbidity: community-based cohort studies in the UK and Finland

Prugger, Christof; Perier, Marie-Cécile; Sabia, Séverine; Fayosse, Aurore; van Sloten, Thomas; Jouven, Xavier; Pentti, Jaana; ... Empana, Jean-Philippe; + view all (2024) Association between changes in cardiovascular health and the risk of multimorbidity: community-based cohort studies in the UK and Finland. The Lancet Regional Health - Europe , 42 , Article 100922. 10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.100922. Green open access

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Abstract

Summary: Background: Better cardiovascular health is associated with lower risk of various chronic diseases, but its association with multimorbidity is poorly understood. We aimed to examine whether change in cardiovascular health is associated with multimorbidity risk. Methods: The primary analysis was conducted in the Whitehall II multiwave prospective cohort study (UK) and the validation analysis in the Finnish Public Sector cohort study (Finland). Change in cardiovascular health was assessed using the American Heart Association Life's Simple 7 (LS7) and Life's Essential 8 (LE8) at baseline and re-assessments, using objective measures in Whitehall II and self-reports and pharmacy claims in the Finnish Public Sector cohort study, respectively. Multimorbidity was defined as the presence of two or more of 12 chronic diseases during follow-up. We estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) using Cox's proportional hazard models with age as time scale, adjusting for sex, education, occupation, marital status, and ethnicity. Findings: In the primary analysis among 9715 participants, mean age was 44.8 (standard deviation 6.0) years and 67.6% participants were men at baseline. During the median follow-up of 31.4 (interquartile range 26.8–32.3) years, 2751 participants developed multimorbidity. The hazard of multimorbidity decreased by 8% (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.88–0.96) per ideal LS7 metric increment over 5 years and by 14% (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.80–0.93) per ten points increase in LE8 score over 10 years. These findings were replicated in the validation analysis among 75,377 participants in terms of 4-year change in cardiovascular health. Interpretation: Improvement in cardiovascular health was associated with lower multimorbidity risk in two community-based cohort studies. Interventions improving cardiovascular health of the community may contribute to multimorbidity prevention. Funding: None.

Type: Article
Title: Association between changes in cardiovascular health and the risk of multimorbidity: community-based cohort studies in the UK and Finland
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.100922
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.100922
Language: English
Additional information: This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. The images or other third-party material in this article are included in the Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in the credit line; if the material is not included under the Creative Commons license, users will need to obtain permission from the license holder to reproduce the material. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Keywords: Cardiovascular health; Chronic diseases; Cohort study; Multimorbidity; Prevention
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > Division of Psychiatry
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > Division of Psychiatry > Mental Health of Older People
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10192477
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