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Effects of diurnal temperature range on diarrhea in the subtropical megacity of Dhaka, Bangladesh

Haque, Farhana; Lampe, Fiona; Hajat, Shakoor; Stavrianaki, Katerina; Hasan, SM Tafsir; Faruque, ASG; Jubayer, Shamim; ... Ahmed, Tahmeed; + view all (2024) Effects of diurnal temperature range on diarrhea in the subtropical megacity of Dhaka, Bangladesh. The Journal of Climate Change and Health , 17 , Article 100305. 10.1016/j.joclim.2024.100305. Green open access

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Abstract

INTRODUCTION: While numerous studies have assessed the association of diarrhea with temperature, few have addressed the relationship between within-day variation of temperature and diarrhea. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We investigated the association between diurnal temperature range (DTR) and daily counts of hospitalizations for all-cause diarrhea in Dhaka, Bangladesh using time series regression analysis employing distributed lag-linear models. Defining DTRs below 10th, 5th and 1st percentiles as low, very low and extremely low DTR, and DTRs above 90th, 95th and 99th percentiles as high, very high and extremely high DTRs, we additionally analyzed the effects of extreme DTR on diarrhea hospitalization. Effects were assessed for all ages, under-5 children and by gender. RESULTS: Although we did not find any significant effects of overall DTR and large DTRs, we detected significant effects of small DTRs on diarrhea hospitalization in all subgroups. A unit rise in low, very low and extremely low DTR was associated with a 4.9 % (95 % CI: 3.6 – 6.2), 7.1 % (95 % CI: 5.4 – 8.9) and 11.8 % (95 % CI: 8.3 – 15.5) increase in all-cause diarrhea hospitalization in all ages, respectively. A unit increase in low, very low and extremely low DTR was associated with a 4.9 %, 5.1 % and 18.4 % increase in all-cause diarrhea hospitalization in children under 5 years of age, respectively. The impact of extremely low DTR varied by gender (16.2 % in females versus 10.1 % in males). The effect of extremely low DTR was most pronounced in children under 5 years of age. CONCLUSION: Less variation in within-day temperatures is a risk factor for diarrhea hospitalization in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Further research is needed to elucidate the causal pathways and identify the preventive measures necessary to mitigate the impacts of lowering DTRs on diarrhea.

Type: Article
Title: Effects of diurnal temperature range on diarrhea in the subtropical megacity of Dhaka, Bangladesh
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.joclim.2024.100305
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joclim.2024.100305
Language: English
Additional information: © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Masson SAS. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NCND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)
Keywords: Diurnal temperature range, DTR, Diarrhea, Diarrheal diseases, Dhaka, Bangladesh
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Inst for Risk and Disaster Reduction
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10190023
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