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Effect of statin treatment on the risk of cancer in patients with heart failure: A target trial emulation study

Ju, Chengsheng; Lau, Wallis CY; Chambers, Pinkie; Man, Kenneth KC; Forster, Martin D; Mackenzie, Isla S; Manisty, Charlotte; (2024) Effect of statin treatment on the risk of cancer in patients with heart failure: A target trial emulation study. Pharmacoepidemiology & Drug Safety , 33 (3) , Article e5775. 10.1002/pds.5775. Green open access

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Abstract

PURPOSE: A recent observational study suggested statins could reduce cancer diagnosis in patients with heart failure (HF). The findings need to be validated using robust epidemiological methods. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of statin treatment on the risk of cancer in patients with HF. METHODS: We conducted two target trial emulations using primary care data from IQVIA Medical Research Database-UK (2000 to 2019) with a clone-censor-weight design. The first emulated trial addressed the treatment initiation effect: initiating within 1 year versus not initiating a statin after the HF diagnosis. The second emulated trial addressed the cumulative exposure effect: continuing a statin for ≤3 years, 3-6 years, and >6 years after initiation. The study outcomes were any incident cancer and site-specific cancer diagnoses. Weighted pooled logistic regression models were used to estimate 10-year risk ratios (RR). 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using non-parametric bootstrapping. RESULTS: The first emulated trial showed that, compared to no statin, statins did not reduce the cancer risk in patients with HF (RR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.94-1.15). The second emulated trial showed that, compared to treatment ≤3 years, statins with longer durations did not reduce the cancer risk (3-6 years: RR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.70-1.33. >6 years: RR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.79-1.26). No significant risk difference was observed on any site-specific cancer diagnoses. CONCLUSIONS: The results from the target trial emulations suggest that statin treatment is not associated with cancer risk in patients with HF.

Type: Article
Title: Effect of statin treatment on the risk of cancer in patients with heart failure: A target trial emulation study
Location: England
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1002/pds.5775
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/pds.5775
Language: English
Additional information: © 2024 The Authors. Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Keywords: cancer, causal inference, heart failure, statin, target trial emulation, Humans, Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors, Neoplasms, Research Design, Heart Failure, Cognition
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences > UCL School of Pharmacy
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Cardiovascular Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences > UCL School of Pharmacy > Practice and Policy
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10188905
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