Stamellou, Eleni;
Saritas, Turgay;
Froissart, Marc;
Kronenberg, Florian;
Stenvinkel, Peter;
Wheeler, David C;
Eckardt, Kai-Uwe;
... Fotheringham, James; + view all
(2024)
Identifying individuals at risk of needing CKD associated medications in a European kidney disease cohort.
BMC Nephrology
, 25
, Article 60. 10.1186/s12882-024-03497-y.
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Abstract
Background: The consequences of chronic kidney disease (CKD) can be addressed with a range of pharmacotherapies primarily prescribed by nephrologists. More accurate information regarding future CKD-related pharmacotherapy requirements could guide clinical decisions including follow-up frequency. // Methods: Following assignment to derivation and validation groups (2,1), variables predicting individually future use of vitamin D receptor agonists (VDRA), phosphate binders, erythropoiesis stimulating agents (ESAs) and iron were identified using logistic regression in a prospective cohort study containing demography, comorbidity, hospitalization, laboratory, and mortality data in patients with CKD stage G4/G5 across six European countries. Discriminative ability was measured using C-statistics, and predicted probability of medication use used to inform follow-up frequency. // Results: A total of 2196 patients were included in the analysis. During a median follow-up of 735 days 648 initiated hemodialysis and 1548 did not. Combinations of age, diabetes status and iPTH, calcium, hemoglobin and serum albumin levels predicted the use of ESA, iron, phosphate binder or VDRA, with C-statistics of 0.70, 0.64, 0.73 and 0.63 in derivation cohorts respectively. Model performance in validation cohorts were similar. Sixteen percent of patients were predicted to have a likelihood of receiving any of these medications of less than 20%. // Conclusions: In a multi-country CKD cohort, prediction of ESA and phosphate binder use over a two-year period can be made based on patient characteristics with the potential to reduce frequency of follow-up in individuals with low risk for requiring these medications.
| Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Title: | Identifying individuals at risk of needing CKD associated medications in a European kidney disease cohort |
| Location: | England |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.1186/s12882-024-03497-y |
| Publisher version: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12882-024-03497-y |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data. |
| Keywords: | CKD G4/G5, CKD-MBD, Renal anemia, ESAs, VDRA, Phosphate binders |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences > Div of Medicine UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences > Div of Medicine > Renal Medicine |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10188169 |
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