Lernon, Siobhan M;
Frings, Daniel;
Terry, Louise;
Simister, Rob;
Browning, Simone;
Burgess, Helen;
Chua, Josenile;
... Werring, David J; + view all
(2024)
Doctors and nurses subjective predictions of 6-month outcome compared to actual 6-month outcome for adult patients with spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) in neurocritical care: An observational study.
eNeurologicalSci
, 34
, Article 100491. 10.1016/j.ensci.2023.100491.
(In press).
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Abstract
Background: Acute spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage is a devastating form of stroke. Prognostication after ICH may be influenced by clinicians' subjective opinions.// Purpose: To evaluate subjective predictions of 6-month outcome by clinicians' for ICH patients in a neurocritical care using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) and compare these to actual 6-month outcome. Method: We included clinicians' predictions of 6-month outcome in the first 48 h for 52 adults with ICH and compared to actual 6-month outcome using descriptive statistics and multilevel binomial logistic regression.// Results: 35/52 patients (66%) had a poor 6-month outcome (mRS 4–6); 19/52 (36%) had died. 324 predictions were included. For good (mRS 0–3) versus poor (mRS 4–6), outcome, accuracy of predictions was 68% and exact agreement 29%. mRS 6 and mRS 4 received the most correct predictions. Comparing job roles, predictions of death were underestimated, by doctors (12%) and nurses (13%) compared with actual mortality (36%). Predictions of vital status showed no significant difference between doctors and nurses: OR = 1.24 {CI; 0.50–3.05}; (p = 0.64) or good versus poor outcome: OR = 1.65 {CI; 0.98–2.79}; (p = 0.06). When predicted and actual 6-month outcome were compared, job role did not significantly relate to correct predictions of good versus poor outcome: OR = 1.13 {CI;0.67–1.90}; (p = 0.65) or for vital status: OR = 1.11 {CI; 0.47–2.61}; p = 0.81).// Conclusions: Early prognostication is challenging. Doctors and nurses were most likely to correctly predict poor outcome but tended to err on the side of optimism for mortality, suggesting an absence of clinical nihilism in relation to ICH.
| Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Title: | Doctors and nurses subjective predictions of 6-month outcome compared to actual 6-month outcome for adult patients with spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) in neurocritical care: An observational study |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.ensci.2023.100491 |
| Publisher version: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ensci.2023.100491 |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | © The Author(s), 2024. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
| Keywords: | Spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage, Neurocritical care predictions, Prognostication, Modified Rankin Scale (mRS)Outcome |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology > Brain Repair and Rehabilitation |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10186267 |
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