Gonzalez Duenas, Catalina;
Cremen, Gemma;
Galasso, Carmine;
(2023)
A novel framework for assessing multi-hazard risk and resilience in a changing world.
In:
Proceedings of Conference Earthquake risk and engineering towards a resilient world (SECED 2023).
Society for Earthquake and Civil Engineering Dynamics (SECED)
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Abstract
The world’s changing climate and rapidly evolving societies are exacerbating the risk posed by natural hazards (such as earthquakes) to infrastructure and communities in general. The dynamic interdependencies of built, natural, and social systems and the potential hazard interactions amplified by climate change also add important challenges to evaluating built-naturalsocial system resilience. Yet, there is a lack of tools available in the literature for comprehensively assessing (and supporting related decision-making on) the performance of the built environment under multi-hazard conditions, considering climate change impacts and the cascading effects caused by system interdependencies. This paper aims to fill this gap by proposing a novel dynamic multi-hazard risk modelling framework to support decision-making under deep uncertainty, accounting for climate change effects in hazard interactions (including earthquakes), cascading consequences of system disruptions, and the multidimensional impacts of naturalhazard-related disasters. The paper describes the framework’s main modules and emphasises the key aspects to consider when implementing it in different contexts. Overall, the proposed framework advances the state-of-the-art in multi-hazard risk and resilience assessment and climate-aware decision-making to support the development of robust mitigation plans and policies under different climate and societal development scenarios.
| Type: | Proceedings paper |
|---|---|
| Title: | A novel framework for assessing multi-hazard risk and resilience in a changing world |
| Event: | Conference Earthquake risk and engineering towards a resilient world (SECED 2023) |
| Location: | Cambridge, United Kingdom |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| Publisher version: | https://www.seced.org.uk/index.php/seced-2023-proc... |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | This version is the version of record. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions. |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Civil, Environ and Geomatic Eng |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10183181 |
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