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Optimisation-based modelling for explainable lead discovery in malaria

Li, Yutong; Cardoso-Silva, Jonathan; Kelly, John M; Delves, Michael J; Furnham, Nicholas; Papageorgiou, Lazaros G; Tsoka, Sophia; (2024) Optimisation-based modelling for explainable lead discovery in malaria. Artificial Intelligence in Medicine , 147 , Article 102700. 10.1016/j.artmed.2023.102700. Green open access

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Abstract

Background: The search for new antimalarial treatments is urgent due to growing resistance to existing therapies. The Open Source Malaria (OSM) project offers a promising starting point, having extensively screened various compounds for their effectiveness. Further analysis of the chemical space surrounding these compounds could provide the means for innovative drugs. // Methods: We report an optimisation-based method for quantitative structure–activity relationship (QSAR) modelling that provides explainable modelling of ligand activity through a mathematical programming formulation. The methodology is based on piecewise regression principles and offers optimal detection of breakpoint features, efficient allocation of samples into distinct sub-groups based on breakpoint feature values, and insightful regression coefficients. Analysis of OSM antimalarial compounds yields interpretable results through rules generated by the model that reflect the contribution of individual fingerprint fragments in ligand activity prediction. Using knowledge of fragment prioritisation and screening of commercially available compound libraries, potential lead compounds for antimalarials are identified and evaluated experimentally via a Plasmodium falciparum asexual growth inhibition assay (PfGIA) and a human cell cytotoxicity assay. // Conclusions: Three compounds are identified as potential leads for antimalarials using the methodology described above. This work illustrates how explainable predictive models based on mathematical optimisation can pave the way towards more efficient fragment-based lead discovery as applied in malaria.

Type: Article
Title: Optimisation-based modelling for explainable lead discovery in malaria
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.artmed.2023.102700
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.artmed.2023.102700
Language: English
Additional information: Copyright © 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Keywords: Quantitative Structure–Activity Relationship (QSAR); Mathematical optimisation; Piecewise linear regression; Drug discovery; Malaria; Machine learning
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Chemical Engineering
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10183018
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