Cremen, G;
Galasso, C;
McCloskey, J;
(2022)
A Novel People-Centered Approach to Modeling and Decision Making on Future Earthquake Risk.
In:
Proceedings of the 12th National Conference on Earthquake Engineering, 12NCEE.
(pp. pp. 1-5).
(EERI) Earthquake Engineering Research Institute: Salt Lake City, Utah, USA.
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Abstract
Numerous approaches to earthquake risk modeling and quantification have already been proposed in the literature and/or are well established in practice. However, most of these procedures are designed to focus on risk in the context of current static exposure and vulnerability, and are therefore limited in their ability to support decisions related to the future, as yet partially unbuilt, urban landscape. This paper outlines an end-to-end risk modeling framework that explicitly addresses this specific challenge. The framework is designed to consider the earthquake risks of tomorrow's urban environment, using a simulationbased approach to rigorously capture the uncertainties inherent in future projections of exposure as well as physical and social vulnerability. The framework also advances the state-of-practice in future disaster risk modeling by additionally: (1) providing a harmonized methodology for integrating physical and social impacts of disasters that facilitates flexible characterization of risk metrics beyond physical damage/asset losses; and (2) incorporating a participatory, people-centered approach to riskinformed decision making. It can be used to support decision making on policies related to future urban planning and design, accounting for various stakeholder perspectives on risk.
| Type: | Proceedings paper |
|---|---|
| Title: | A Novel People-Centered Approach to Modeling and Decision Making on Future Earthquake Risk |
| Event: | 12th National Conference on Earthquake Engineering (12NCEE) |
| Location: | Salt Lake City, UT, USA |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| Publisher version: | https://12ncee.org/program/proceedings |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | This version is the version of record. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions. |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Civil, Environ and Geomatic Eng |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10181659 |
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