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Development of a Directed Acyclic Graph through expert elicitation for Causal Inference in Built Environment Research

Ashdown, Minnie; Petrou, Giorgos; (2024) Development of a Directed Acyclic Graph through expert elicitation for Causal Inference in Built Environment Research. In: Proceedings of Building Simulation 2023: 18th Conference of IBPSA. (pp. pp. 1183-1190). IBPSA: Shanghai, China. Green open access

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Abstract

System complexity within buildings research is high. Data are increasingly high dimensional with multiple physical and socio-technical processes driving their generation. Popular statistical methods of data analysis lack a structured procedure for incorporating intuition, limiting their potential for effect attribution in the study of buildings. This can be addressed through the use of a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG); a graphical representation of expert knowledge and assumptions, through which interventions can be modelled, and causal assumptions are made explicit. This paper introduces the process of DAG development through expert elicitation, offering guidance to built environment researchers interested in causal modelling.

Type: Proceedings paper
Title: Development of a Directed Acyclic Graph through expert elicitation for Causal Inference in Built Environment Research
Event: 18th Conference of IBPSA
Location: Shanghai, China
Dates: 4th-6th September 2023
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.26868/25222708.2023.1588
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.26868/25222708.2023.1588
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the version of record. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Causal Inference, Expert Elicitation, Directed Acyclic Graph, Built Environment
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Bartlett School Env, Energy and Resources
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10181588
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