Otárola, K;
Iannacone, L;
Gentile, R;
Galasso, C;
(2023)
Seismic Fragility Analysis of Deteriorating Reinforced Concrete Buildings from a Life-Cycle Perspective.
In:
Proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, ICASP14.
(pp. pp. 1-9).
ICASP14
Preview |
PDF
Fragility.pdf - Accepted Version Download (891kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Structural systems in seismically-active regions typically undergo multiple ground-motion sequences during their service life (including multiple mainshocks, mainshocks triggering other earthquakes on nearby fault segments, mainshock-aftershock, and aftershock-aftershock sequences). These successive ground motions can lead to severe structural/non-structural damage and significant direct/indirect earthquake-induced losses. Nevertheless, the effects of a pre-damaged state during ground-motion sequences are often neglected in assessing structural performance. Additionally, environmentally-induced deterioration mechanisms may exacerbate the consequences of such groundmotion sequences during the structural system’s designed lifetime. Yet, such combined effects are commonly overlooked. This paper proposes an end-to-end computational methodology to derive timeand state-dependent fragility relationships (i.e., explicitly depending on time and the damage state achieved by a system during a first shock) for structural systems subjected to chloride-induced corrosion deterioration and earthquake-induced ground-motion sequences. To this aim, a vector-valued probabilistic seismic demand model is developed. Such a model relates the dissipated hysteretic energy in the ground-motion sequence to the maximum inter-storey drift induced by the first shock and the intensity measure of the second shock for a given corrosion deterioration level. Moreover, a vectorvalued generalised logistic model is developed to estimate the probability of collapse, conditioning on the same parameters as above. An appropriate chloride-penetration model is then used to model the timevarying evolution of fragility relationships’ parameters using a plain Monte-Carlo approach, capturing the continuous nature of the deterioration processes (i.e., gradual and shock deterioration). The significant impact of such a multi-hazard threat on structural fragility is demonstrated by utilising a casestudy reinforced concrete building. Due to deteriorating effects, reductions up to 33.3% can be noticed in the fragility median values.
Type: | Proceedings paper |
---|---|
Title: | Seismic Fragility Analysis of Deteriorating Reinforced Concrete Buildings from a Life-Cycle Perspective |
Event: | 14th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP14) |
Location: | Dublin, Ireland |
Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
Publisher version: | http://www.tara.tcd.ie/bitstream/handle/2262/10360... |
Language: | English |
Additional information: | © The Authors 2023. Original content in this paper is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC SA 4.0) Licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/deed.en). |
UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Inst for Risk and Disaster Reduction |
URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10180501 |
Archive Staff Only
View Item |