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Rejuvenation or renomination? Corruption and candidate turnover in Central and Eastern Europe

Sikk, A; Koeker, P; (2016) Rejuvenation or renomination? Corruption and candidate turnover in Central and Eastern Europe. In: (Proceedings) PSA Annual International Conference 2016. Political Studies Association (PSA)

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Abstract

A number of recent studies have analysed the electoral impact of political corruption and effectiveness of elections in holding implicated politicians to account. However, high levels of corruption or publicised cases of political malfeasance also influence parties’ strategies before elections, particularly considerations about candidate (de-)selection. While some studies have shown that political scandals can significantly affect renomination rates and electoral fortunes of incumbent candidates, others suggest that parties will stick to established candidates rather than replacing them with new ones when corruption increases. We put these conflicting arguments to the test by studying candidate turnover on party lists in 9 EU member states in Central and Eastern Europe. Based on the literature, we formulate two competing hypotheses on the impact of corruption (perception) on candidate turnover: 1) Rejuvenation (parties renew their candidate lists in response to corruption), and 2) Renomination (corruption leads to renomination of old candidates and stagnation of the candidate pool). Our analysis is based on a newly created data set covering most of the elections during the last two decades in the region and ca. 200,000 candidates. We find significant support for the Renomination hypothesis - increased levels of corruption lead to a decrease in candidate turnover. However, the effect is only evident and statistically significant among governing parties. Turnover in other parties in other parties is best explained by party size.

Type: Proceedings paper
Title: Rejuvenation or renomination? Corruption and candidate turnover in Central and Eastern Europe
Event: PSA Annual International Conference 2016
Location: Brighton
Dates: 21 Mar 2016 - 23 Mar 2016
Publisher version: https://www.psa.ac.uk/events/psa-annual-internatio...
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Elections, voting, candidate, political parties, Central and Eastern Europe, governance, corruption
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of Arts and Humanities
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10179767
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