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Environmental Pollution and Authoritarian Politics

Horz, Carlo M; Marbach, Moritz; Steinert, Christoph V; (2023) Environmental Pollution and Authoritarian Politics. The Journal of Politics , 85 (2) pp. 524-536. 10.1086/723024. Green open access

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Abstract

Authoritarian rulers fend off revolutions by stimulating the economy. However, expanding the economy can also increase environmental pollution. If citizens value clean air and water, worsening pollution has the potential to galvanize large segments of the society against the regime—which increases the risk of a revolution. While the literature has documented how concerns over the environment upend politics in democracies, we know relatively little about the effects of these concerns in authoritarian regimes. We analyze environmental pollution as an overlooked threat to authoritarian rulers. Using unique data from Communist East Germany and exploiting variation in thermal inversions to instrument for pollution levels, we find that pollution causes both individual and collective expressions of regime dissatisfaction. Our findings suggest that rulers face a trade-off between growing the economy and worsening pollution.

Type: Article
Title: Environmental Pollution and Authoritarian Politics
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1086/723024
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1086/723024
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the version of record. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: authoritarian politics, CIVIL-WAR, CLIMATE-CHANGE, DEMOCRACY, ELECTORAL ACCOUNTABILITY, environmental pollution, Government & Law, GRIEVANCE, INSTITUTIONS, Political Science, PROTEST, protests, QUALITY, REGIMES, REVOLUTION, Social Sciences
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Political Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10179256
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