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Climate change impacts on ocean circulation relevant to the UK and Ireland

McCarthy, G; Burmeister, K; Cunningham, S; Düsterhus, A; Frajka-Williams, E; Graham, J; Hodge, K; ... Thornalley, David; + view all (2023) Climate change impacts on ocean circulation relevant to the UK and Ireland. MCCIP Science Review pp. 1-29. 10.14465/2023.reu05.cir. Green open access

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Abstract

1.: Observations of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation or Gulf Stream System since the 1980s have shown a strengthening in the 1990s and a weakening in the 2000s, with no clear overall trend. 2.: Shifts in North-east Atlantic circulation, leading to a greater influence of warmer subtropical-origin waters which can impact marine ecosystems and economically important fish species such as mackerel. The changing subpolar ocean circulation is also having impacts on the food supply for deep-sea ecosystems. 3.: The subpolar gyre recorded its freshest values on record in the 2010s. Ongoing freshwater build-up in the rapidly changing Arctic Ocean may exacerbate this freshening. 4.: Projections from climate models consistently project a weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation due to anthropogenic climate change. 5.: Warming of Atlantic waters is expected to reduce the depth of mixed layers and limit nutrient supply to surface layers.

Type: Article
Title: Climate change impacts on ocean circulation relevant to the UK and Ireland
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.14465/2023.reu05.cir
Publisher version: http://doi.org/10.14465/2023.reu05.cir
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the version of record. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher's terms and conditions.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Geography
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10175081
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