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The big-fish-little-pond effect and overclaiming

Jerrim, John; Parker, Philip D; Shure, Nikki; (2023) The big-fish-little-pond effect and overclaiming. International Journal of Educational Research , 121 , Article 102215. 10.1016/j.ijer.2023.102215. Green open access

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Abstract

Using the OECD's Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) study, we investigate whether students’ relative ability in mathematics (in comparison to their school peers) is linked to their tendency to overclaim. Although the estimated effect size is modest (around 0.1 standard deviations) we find empirical support that being a big fish in a small pond is linked to overclaiming, with this robust to different analytic approaches and model specifications. Thus, being one of the highest academic achievers within a school may push young people's beliefs in their own abilities too far, straying into overconfidence and making claims about their knowledge and skills that they cannot justify.

Type: Article
Title: The big-fish-little-pond effect and overclaiming
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijer.2023.102215
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijer.2023.102215
Language: English
Additional information: Copyright © 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Keywords: PISA; Overclaiming; Big-fish-little-pond effect; Relative achievement
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education > UCL Institute of Education
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education > UCL Institute of Education > IOE - Social Research Institute
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10174000
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