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A Meta-Method for Portfolio Management Using Machine Learning for Adaptive Strategy Selection

Kisiel, Damian; Gorse, Denise; (2022) A Meta-Method for Portfolio Management Using Machine Learning for Adaptive Strategy Selection. In: CIIS '21: Proceedings of the 2021 4th International Conference on Computational Intelligence and Intelligent Systems. (pp. pp. 67-71). Association for Computing Machinery (ACM): New York, NY, US. Green open access

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Abstract

This work proposes a novel portfolio management technique, the Meta Portfolio Method (MPM), inspired by the successes of meta approaches in the field of bioinformatics and elsewhere. The MPM uses XGBoost to learn how to switch between two risk-based portfolio allocation strategies, the Hierarchical Risk Parity (HRP) and more classical Naïve Risk Parity (NRP). It is demonstrated that the MPM is able to successfully take advantage of the best characteristics of each strategy (the NRP’s fast growth during market uptrends, and the HRP’s protection against drawdowns during market turmoil). As a result, the MPM is shown to possess an excellent out-of-sample risk-reward profile, as measured by the Sharpe ratio, and in addition offers a high degree of interpretability of its asset allocation decisions.

Type: Proceedings paper
Title: A Meta-Method for Portfolio Management Using Machine Learning for Adaptive Strategy Selection
Event: CIIS 2021: The 4th International Conference on Computational Intelligence and Intelligent Systems
ISBN-13: 9781450385930
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1145/3507623.3507635
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1145/3507623.3507635
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author-accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Adaptive strategy selection, Supervised learning, Portfolio management, Meta-methods, Machine learning.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Computer Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10172664
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