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A kernel test for quasi-independence

Fernández, T; Xu, W; Ditzhaus, M; Gretton, A; (2020) A kernel test for quasi-independence. In: Larochelle, H. and Ranzato, M. and Hadsell, R. and Balcan, M.F. and Lin, H., (eds.) NIPS'20: Proceedings of the 34th International Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems. Neural Information Processing Systems Conference: Vancouver, Canada. Green open access

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Abstract

We consider settings in which the data of interest correspond to pairs of ordered times, e.g, the birth times of the first and second child, the times at which a new user creates an account and makes the first purchase on a website, and the entry and survival times of patients in a clinical trial. In these settings, the two times are not independent (the second occurs after the first), yet it is still of interest to determine whether there exists significant dependence "beyond" their ordering in time. We refer to this notion as "quasi-(in)dependence." For instance, in a clinical trial, to avoid biased selection, we might wish to verify that recruitment times are quasi-independent of survival times, where dependencies might arise due to seasonal effects. In this paper, we propose a nonparametric statistical test of quasi-independence. Our test considers a potentially infinite space of alternatives, making it suitable for complex data where the nature of the possible quasi-dependence is not known in advance. Standard parametric approaches are recovered as special cases, such as the classical conditional Kendall's tau, and log-rank tests. The tests apply in the right-censored setting: an essential feature in clinical trials, where patients can withdraw from the study. We provide an asymptotic analysis of our test-statistic, and demonstrate in experiments that our test obtains better power than existing approaches, while being more computationally efficient.

Type: Proceedings paper
Title: A kernel test for quasi-independence
Event: NIPS'20: 34th International Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems
ISBN-13: 978-1-7138-2954-6
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
Publisher version: https://proceedings.neurips.cc/paper/2020/hash/aee...
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the version of record. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Life Sciences > Gatsby Computational Neurosci Unit
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10166659
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