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Adaptive water resource planning using decision-rules

Erfani, T; Harou, JJ; (2021) Adaptive water resource planning using decision-rules. Advances in Water Resources , 154 , Article 103961. 10.1016/j.advwatres.2021.103961. Green open access

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Abstract

Dealing with uncertainty in water resource planning is problematic because insufficient or underused infrastructure can have social and environmental costs. Multistage stochastic optimisation provides a mechanism to deal with this challenge in water supply capacity expansion planning. However, for real systems it can be mathematically hard and computationally expensive. The ‘Decision-rule’ formulation represents an attempt to remedy this by approximating the multistage problem where decisions at each stage are a function of the uncertainty and the state of the system. We introduce a family of rules to show how they approximate the multistage problem and investigate the implications of the approximation for adaptive water resources planning.

Type: Article
Title: Adaptive water resource planning using decision-rules
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.advwatres.2021.103961
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2021.103961
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Decision rule, Adaptive water resource planning, Decision making under uncertainty, Multistage stochastic
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Civil, Environ and Geomatic Eng
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10140004
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