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Exploring the role of spatial configuration and behavior on the spread of the epidemic: A study of factors that affect Covid-19 spreading in the city

Wang, M; Fatah gen. Schieck, A; Koutsolampros, P; (2021) Exploring the role of spatial configuration and behavior on the spread of the epidemic: A study of factors that affect Covid-19 spreading in the city. In: Proceedings of ACADIA 2021 - Realignments: Toward Critical Computation. Association for Computer Aided Design in Architecture (ACADIA): Online conference. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

This research explores how exterior public space - defined through the configuration of the city - and human behavior affect the spread of disease. In order to understand the virus spreading mechanism and influencing factors of the epidemic which accompany residents' movement, this study attempts to reproduce the process of virus spreading in city areas through computer simulation. The simulation can be divided into residents' movement simulation and the virus spreading simulation. First, the Agent-based model (ABM) can effectively simulate the behavior of the individual and crowd;real location data - uploaded by residents via mobile phone applications - is used as a behavioral driving force for the agent's movement. Second, a mathematical model of infectious diseases is constructed based on SIR (SEIR) Compartmental models in epidemiology. Finally, by analyzing the simulation results of the agent's movement in the city and the virus spreading under different conditions, the influence of multiple factors of city configuration and human behavior on the virus spreading process is explored, and the effectiveness of countermeasures such as social distancing and lockdown are further demonstrated.

Type: Proceedings paper
Title: Exploring the role of spatial configuration and behavior on the spread of the epidemic: A study of factors that affect Covid-19 spreading in the city
Event: ACADIA 2021 - Realignments: Toward Critical Computation
Location: https://2021.acadia.org
Dates: 03 November 2021 - 06 November 2021
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
Publisher version: http://2021.acadia.org/
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > The Bartlett School of Architecture
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10138780
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