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Spatial and genomic data to characterize endemic typhoid transmission

Gauld, JS; Olgemoeller, F; Heinz, E; Nkhata, R; Bilima, S; Wailan, AM; Kennedy, N; ... Feasey, NA; + view all (2021) Spatial and genomic data to characterize endemic typhoid transmission. Clinical Infectious Diseases , Article ciab745. 10.1093/cid/ciab745. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Diverse environmental exposures and risk factors have been implicated in the transmission of Salmonella Typhi, however, the dominant transmission pathways through the environment to susceptible humans remain unknown. Here, we utilize spatial, bacterial genomic, and hydrological data to refine our view of Typhoid transmission in an endemic setting. METHODS: 546 patients presenting to Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital in Blantyre, Malawi with blood culture-confirmed typhoid fever between April 2015 and January 2017 were recruited to a cohort study. The households of a subset of these patients were geolocated, and 256 S. Typhi isolates were whole genome sequenced. Pairwise single nucleotide variant (SNV) distances were incorporated into a geostatistical modeling framework using multidimensional scaling. RESULTS: Typhoid fever was not evenly distributed across Blantyre, with estimated minimum incidence ranging across the city from less than 15 to over 100 cases/100,000/year. Pairwise SNV distance and physical household distances were significantly correlated (p=0.001). We evaluated the ability of river catchment to explain the spatial patterns of genomics observed, finding that it significantly improved the fit of the model (p=0.003). We also found spatial correlation at a smaller spatial scale, of households living <192 meters apart. CONCLUSIONS: These findings reinforce the emerging view that hydrological systems play a key role in the transmission of typhoid fever. By combining genomic and spatial data, we show how multi-faceted data can be used to identify high incidence areas, understand the connections between them, and inform targeted environmental surveillance, all of which will be critical to shape local and regional typhoid control strategies.

Type: Article
Title: Spatial and genomic data to characterize endemic typhoid transmission
Location: United States
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciab745
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciab745
Language: English
Additional information: © The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Keywords: Environmental transmission, genomics, salmonella typhi, spatial patterns, typhoid fever
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences > Div of Infection and Immunity
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10137096
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