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Convalescent plasma for COVID-19: a meta-analysis, trial sequential analysis, and meta-regression

Snow, TAC; Saleem, N; Ambler, G; Nastouli, E; McCoy, LE; Singer, M; Arulkumaran, N; (2021) Convalescent plasma for COVID-19: a meta-analysis, trial sequential analysis, and meta-regression. British Journal of Anaesthesia , 127 (6) pp. 834-844. 10.1016/j.bja.2021.07.033. Green open access

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Abstract

Background: SARS-CoV-2-specific antibodies, particularly those preventing interaction between the viral spike receptor-binding domain and the host angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 receptor, may prevent viral entry into host cells and disease progression. / Objective: We performed a systematic review, meta-analysis, trials sequential analysis (TSA) and meta-regression of randomized control trials (RCTs) to evaluate the benefit of convalescent plasma for COVID-19. The primary outcome was 28-30-day mortality. Secondary outcomes included need for mechanical ventilation and intensive care (ICU) admission. / Data sources: PubMed, Embase, MedRxiv, and the Cochrane library on 2nd July 2021. / Results: Seventeen RCTs were identified recruiting 15,587 patients with 8027 (51.5%) allocated to receive convalescent plasma. Convalescent plasma use was not associated with a mortality benefit (24.7% vs. 25.5%; OR 0.94 (0.85 – 1.04); p = 0.23; I2 = 4%; TSA adjusted CI 0.84 – 1.05), or reduction in need for mechanical ventilation (15.7% vs. 15.4%; OR 1.01 [0.92 – 1.11]; p = 0.82; I2 = 0%; TSA adjusted CI 0.91 – 1.13), or ICU admission (22.4% vs. 16.7%; OR 0.80 (0.21 – 3.09); p = 0.75; I2 = 63%; TSA adjusted CI 0.0 – 196.05). Meta-regression did not reveal any association with titre of convalescent plasma, timing of administration, nor risk of death and treatment effect (p>0.05). Risk of bias was high in most studies. / Conclusions: In patients with COVID-19, there was no clear mortality benefit associated with convalescent plasma. In patients with mild disease, convalescent plasma did not prevent either the need for mechanical ventilation or ICU admission. PROSPERO registration CRD42021234201.

Type: Article
Title: Convalescent plasma for COVID-19: a meta-analysis, trial sequential analysis, and meta-regression
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.bja.2021.07.033
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bja.2021.07.033
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Antibodies, COVID-19, Passive immunization, Meta-analysis, convalescent plasma
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences > Div of Infection and Immunity
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences > Div of Medicine
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences > Div of Medicine > Experimental and Translational Medicine
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > UCL GOS Institute of Child Health
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > UCL GOS Institute of Child Health > Infection, Immunity and Inflammation Dept
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Dept of Statistical Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10133873
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