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The role of space, time and sociability in predicting social encounters

Stich, C; Tranos, E; Musolesi, M; Lehmann, S; (2021) The role of space, time and sociability in predicting social encounters. Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science 10.1177/23998083211016871. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

Space, time and the social realm are intrinsically linked. While an array of studies have tried to untangle these factors and their influence on human behaviour, hardly any have taken their effects into account at the same time. To disentangle these factors, we try to predict future encounters between students and assess how important social, spatial and temporal features are for prediction. We phrase our problem of predicting future encounters as a link-prediction problem and utilise set of Random Forest predictors for the prediction task. We use data collected by the Copenhagen network study; a study unique in scope and scale and tracks 847 students via mobile phones over the course of a whole academic year. We find that network and social features hold the highest discriminatory power for predicting future encounters.

Type: Article
Title: The role of space, time and sociability in predicting social encounters
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1177/23998083211016871
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1177%2F23998083211016871
Language: English
Additional information: © 2021 by SAGE Publications. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Keywords: Geographic context, link prediction, social networks
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Computer Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10129550
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