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Natural (Non‐)Informative Priors for Skew‐symmetric Distributions

Dette, H; Ley, C; Rubio, F; (2018) Natural (Non‐)Informative Priors for Skew‐symmetric Distributions. Scandinavian Journal of Statistics , 45 (2) pp. 405-420. 10.1111/sjos.12306. Green open access

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Abstract

In this paper, we present an innovative method for constructing proper priors for the skewness (shape) parameter in the skew‐symmetric family of distributions. The proposed method is based on assigning a prior distribution on the perturbation effect of the shape parameter, which is quantified in terms of the total variation distance. We discuss strategies to translate prior beliefs about the asymmetry of the data into an informative prior distribution of this class. We show via a Monte Carlo simulation study that our non‐informative priors induce posterior distributions with good frequentist properties, similar to those of the Jeffreys prior. Our informative priors yield better results than their competitors from the literature. We also propose a scale‐invariant and location‐invariant prior structure for models with unknown location and scale parameters and provide sufficient conditions for the propriety of the corresponding posterior distribution. Illustrative examples are presented using simulated and real data.

Type: Article
Title: Natural (Non‐)Informative Priors for Skew‐symmetric Distributions
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1111/sjos.12306
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/sjos.12306
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: measure of skewness, prior elicitation, skew‐symmetric distributions, total variation distance
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Dept of Statistical Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10126580
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