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Diagnosing air quality changes in the UK during the COVID-19 lockdown using TROPOMI and GEOS-Chem

Potts, DA; Marais, EA; Boesch, H; Pope, RJ; Lee, J; Drysdale, W; Chipperfield, MP; ... Remedios, J; + view all (2021) Diagnosing air quality changes in the UK during the COVID-19 lockdown using TROPOMI and GEOS-Chem. Environmental Research Letters , 16 (5) , Article 054031. 10.1088/1748-9326/abde5d. Green open access

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Abstract

The dramatic and sudden reduction in anthropogenic activity due to lockdown measures in the UK in response to the COVID-19 outbreak has resulted in a concerted effort to estimate local and regional changes in air quality, though changes in underlying emissions remain uncertain. Here we combine satellite observations of tropospheric NO_{2} from TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument and the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS)-Chem 3D chemical transport model to estimate that NO_{x} emissions declined nationwide by ~20% during the lockdown (23 March to 31 May 2020). Regionally, these range from 22% to 23% in the western portion of the country to 29% in the southeast and Manchester, and >40% in London. We apply a uniform 20% lockdown period emission reduction to GEOS-Chem anthropogenic emissions over the UK to determine that decline in lockdown emissions led to a national decline in PM_{2.5} of 1.1 μg m^{−3}, ranging from 0.6 μg m^{−3} in Scotland to 2 μg m^{−3} in the southwest. The decline in emissions in cities (>40%) is greater than the national average and causes an increase in ozone of ~2 ppbv in London and Manchester. The change in ozone and PM_{2.5} concentrations due to emission reductions alone is about half the total change from 2019 to 2020. This emphasizes the need to account for emissions and other factors, in particular meteorology, in future air pollution abatement strategies and regulatory action.

Type: Article
Title: Diagnosing air quality changes in the UK during the COVID-19 lockdown using TROPOMI and GEOS-Chem
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abde5d
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abde5d
Language: English
Additional information: © 2021 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd. Original content from this work may be used under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Geography
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10119671
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