Malki-Epshtein, L; Stoesser, T; Ciric, L; Tyler, N; Stubbs, A; (2020) Report on Scientific advice to TfL on bus driver assault screen modifications due to the Covid-19 pandemic. UCL Department of Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering: London, UK.

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Abstract

In April 2020 Transport for London (TfL) commissioned the UCL Department of Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering (CEGE) to explore measures to mitigate the occupational risk posed to London bus drivers from the COVID-19 pandemic, following the tragic deaths of a number of drivers among bus operators within London. A separate study undertaken by UCL’s Institute of Health Equality has examined more comprehensively a number of other risk factors affecting bus drivers, including beyond their occupational risk. Phase one of that study was published on the 27th July 2020 and has determined that “there is evidence that among bus drivers those aged 65 and over, those from BAME backgrounds and those with pre-existing hypertension are at a higher risk of COVID-19 mortality and this should be taken into accounts in efforts by TfL and bus companies to reduce risks”. TfL asked UCL CEGE to explore the nature of this occupational risk in relation to the interaction between passengers and the bus driver, and the effects arising as a result of the design of the bus itself, in particular the assault screen. The assault screen is a pre-existing transparent polycarbonate fixture designed to resist physical attacks, such as stabbings, while allowing the driver to have both a clear view through the screen, access the electronic ticket machine and provide receipts when required, and the ability to be able to hear and speak to passengers as the need arises. It was not originally designed to keep the driver completely isolated from the passengers. A set of detailed models was created of the front part of a typical London bus, including both front and central doors, the driver’s cabin and a detailed dynamic model of the bus driver, and then detailed CFD simulations were carried out. These calculated the motion of aerosols emanating from a passenger who is coughing and breathing in a number of positions relative to the driver’s cabin under a variety of design and operational scenarios in order to identify appropriate interventions. A typical screen and bus design were chosen for the simulations, that addressed all the relevant design issues - gaps, door and window operations - as a representative case for all buses. The original (pre-COVID) designs of polycarbonate dividers or screens were only marginally protective against aerosols and were not sufficient on their own to protect against airborne transmission of SARS-CoV-2. A set of recommendations has been made with the aim of reducing this risk to London drivers in particular as much as is practically possible, further to interventions already initiated by TfL. Buses in large cities are a unique indoor environment that is confined and often crowded at rush hour or in tourist season and, if poorly ventilated there is potential for airborne transmission of infectious diseases which may pose a risk to drivers due to their prolonged exposure times. Further work is required to determine if there may be a risk to passengers too, if they are on board for long journeys. Regardless of any mechanical or physical interventions to reduce risk, it is recommended that in the medium-term, targets for Indoor Air Quality (IAQ) standards on public transport are developed and adopted. This, due to the high number of daily passengers, some of whom have long journey durations (>1hr if commuting from zones 4 and beyond) and the prevalence of infectious diseases such as influenza and the common cold in the population every winter season, which carry large economic costs and also cost lives. The emergence of highly infectious and more dangerous diseases in the UK and around the world in the past two decades, such as SARS-CoV-2, SARS, H1N1 (swine flu) or MERS, all indicate that it is very timely to invest efforts towards maintaining healthy and safe indoor air on public transport.

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