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A derivatives trading recommendation system: The mid‐curve calendar spread case

Koshiyama, AS; Firoozye, N; Treleaven, P; (2019) A derivatives trading recommendation system: The mid‐curve calendar spread case. Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management , 26 (2) pp. 83-103. 10.1002/isaf.1445. Green open access

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Abstract

Derivative traders are usually required to scan through hundreds, even thousands of possible trades on a daily basis. Up to now, not a single solution is available to aid in their job. Hence, this work is aimed to develop a trading recommendation system, and to apply this system to the so‐called Mid‐Curve Calendar Spread (MCCS) trade. To suggest that such approach is feasible, we used a list of 35 different types of MCCSs; a total of 11 predictive and 4 benchmark models. Our results suggest that linear regression with l1‐regularisation (Lasso) compared favourably to other approaches from a predictive and interpretability point of views.

Type: Article
Title: A derivatives trading recommendation system: The mid‐curve calendar spread case
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1445
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/isaf.1445
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: derivatives, machine learning, trading recommendation system
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Computer Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10091859
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