Marchment, Z;
Gill, P;
(2019)
Modelling the spatial decision making of terrorists: The discrete choice approach.
Applied Geography
, 104
pp. 21-31.
10.1016/j.apgeog.2019.01.009.
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Gill Marchment and Gill (2019) Modelling the spatial decision making of terrorists.pdf - Accepted Version Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
This is the first study to apply a discrete choice model to understand terrorist spatial decision making. The findings support the proposition that terrorists make decisions that are guided by rationality and act in a similar way to urban criminals. A conditional logistic regression ascertained which characteristics increased the likelihood that an area would be selected as a target, using a dataset of attacks carried out by the Provisional Irish Republican Army in Belfast over a twenty-year period. An increase in distance from the terrorist's home to the attack site decreased the likelihood that an area would be chosen and an area was more likely to be chosen if it contained a major road, police station or military base.
| Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Title: | Modelling the spatial decision making of terrorists: The discrete choice approach |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.apgeog.2019.01.009 |
| Publisher version: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2019.01.009 |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions. |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Security and Crime Science |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10068615 |
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