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Refugee status and the incidence of affective psychotic disorders and non-psychotic bipolar disorder: A register-based cohort study of 1.3m people in Sweden

Burr, Lilian; Dykxhoorn, Jennifer; Hollander, Anna-Clara; Dalman, Christina; Kirkbride, James B; (2024) Refugee status and the incidence of affective psychotic disorders and non-psychotic bipolar disorder: A register-based cohort study of 1.3m people in Sweden. Journal of Affective Disorders , 352 pp. 43-50. 10.1016/j.jad.2024.02.043. Green open access

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Refugees are at increased risk of non-affective psychotic disorders, but it is unclear whether this extends to affective psychotic disorders [APD] or non-psychotic bipolar disorder [NPB]. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide cohort study in Sweden of all refugees, non-refugee migrants and the Swedish-born population, born 1 Jan 1984-31 Dec 2016. We followed participants from age 14 years until first ICD-10 diagnosis of APD or NPB. We fitted Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios [HR] and 95 % confidence intervals [95%CI], adjusted for age, sex and family income. Models were additionally stratified by region-of-origin. RESULTS: We followed 1.3 million people for 15.1 million person-years, including 2428 new APD cases (rate: 16.0 per 100,000 person-years; 95%CI: 15.4-16.7) and 9425 NPB cases (rate: 63.8; 95%CI: 62.6-65.1). Rates of APD were higher in refugee (HRadjusted: 2.07; 95%CI: 1.55-2.78) and non-refugee migrants (HRadjusted: 1.40; 95%CI: 1.16-1.68), but lower for NPBs for refugee (HRadjusted: 0.24; 95%CI: 0.16-0.38) and non-refugee migrants (HRadjusted: 0.34; 95%CI: 0.28-0.41), compared with the Swedish-born. APD rates were elevated for both migrant groups from Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, but not other regions. Migrant groups from all regions-of-origin experienced lower rates of NPB. LIMITATIONS: Income may have been on the causal pathway making adjustment inappropriate. CONCLUSIONS: Refugees experience elevated rates of APD compared with Swedish-born and non-refugee migrants, but lower rates of NPB. This specificity of excess risk warrants clinical and public health investment in appropriate psychosis care for these vulnerable populations.

Type: Article
Title: Refugee status and the incidence of affective psychotic disorders and non-psychotic bipolar disorder: A register-based cohort study of 1.3m people in Sweden
Location: Netherlands
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.jad.2024.02.043
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jad.2024.02.043
Language: English
Additional information: © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Keywords: Affective psychotic disorder, Bipolar disorder, Epidemiology, Incidence, Migration, Refugee
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > Division of Psychiatry
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > Division of Psychiatry > Epidemiology and Applied Clinical Research
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10187606
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