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A Conceptual Model of Planned Adaptation (PA)

Sowell, Jesse; (2019) A Conceptual Model of Planned Adaptation (PA). In: Marchau, Vincent AWJ and Walker, Warren E and Bloemen, Pieter JTM and Popper, Steven W, (eds.) Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice. (pp. 289-320). Springer: Cham, Switzerland. Green open access

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Abstract

Technical and operational systems, especially large complex socio-technical systems, must continuously adapt to a changing context. Conventional rulemaking systems have, historically, been ponderous. Low clockspeed rulemaking systems are rarely equipped to keep pace when applied to govern higher clockspeed socio-technical systems. This chapter presents and characterizes four organizational complexes that have effectively implemented ‘planned adaptation’. Based on these cases, an initial general model of planned adaptation is presented: first, in terms of the first principles of where in the rulemaking system adaptation may be introduced; second, in terms of categories of events and triggers; and finally, in terms of the evaluative capabilities and capacities within and across organizations necessary to systematically plan to adapt. This general model (which can more generally be termed systematic adaptation) characterizes ad hoc adaptation, planned adaptation, as well as ideal forms of adaptation. These are used as comparators in what is referred to here as the ‘systematic adaptation space’. Discussion of four cases based on this model highlight instances of critical paths from ad hoc to planned adaptation, offering early insights that can lead to effectively designing organizational complexes that can effectively plan to adapt. The chapter concludes with a discussion of ongoing work—in particular, how this model will be used for theory-based sampling to identify cases of adaptation that can be used to further refine the model and its application to systematic adaptation by design.

Type: Book chapter
Title: A Conceptual Model of Planned Adaptation (PA)
ISBN-13: 978-3-030-05251-5
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-05252-2_13
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-05252-2_13
Language: English
Additional information: This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this chapter are included in the chapter's Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the chapter's Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > STEaPP
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10183492
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